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Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 30
Feb 1, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Exeter City

Stevenage
4 - 1
Exeter

King (11'), Roberts (17', 80'), Kemp (76')
King (2'), Freeman (24'), Reid (44')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Magennis (3' pen.)
Diabate (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Stevenage and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 2-3 Stevenage
Tuesday, January 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 2-6 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, January 28 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 3-1 Exeter City

Stevenage will come into the game full of confidence after their strong win over Wrexham last time out, while the visitors will be looking to stop the rot. However, considering their poor form - as well as the fact that they have so many defenders out - it is hard to see Exeter taking anything from this weekend's match, so expect a fourth consecutive win for the Boro on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 48.46%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawExeter City
48.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 26.34%25.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.08% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)55.72% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.14% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)76.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.97%23.03% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.16% (0.0019999999999953 0)56.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.46% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)37.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.68% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)74.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 48.46%
    Exeter City 25.2%
    Draw 26.33%
StevenageDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 12.69%
2-0 @ 9.32% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-1 @ 9.13%
3-0 @ 4.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.47%
3-2 @ 2.19%
4-0 @ 1.68%
4-1 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 48.46%
1-1 @ 12.43%
0-0 @ 8.65% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 8.47%
1-2 @ 6.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.46%
0-3 @ 1.36% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 25.2%

Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 7
Exeter
2-0
Stevenage
Francis (9'), Doyle (50')
Crama (55')

Roberts (44'), Piergianni (83')
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 43
Exeter
1-0
Stevenage
Cole (38')
Carroll (22'), Hemmings (69'), Thompson (90+3'), Sweeney (90+3')

Butler (7'), Thompson (47'), Watts (86')
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Stevenage
1-1
Exeter
Piergianni (45+1')
Butler (53')
Wildschut (47')
Aitchison (23'), Caldwell (24'), Taylor (43'), Sweeney (46'), Sinisalo (64'), Niskanen (75')
Aitchison (43')
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Second Round
Exeter
1-1
Stevenage
(Aggregate 1-1 | Exeter win 5-3 on penalties)
Hartridge (5')
Trevitt (8'), Sweeney (30')
Roberts (69')
Evans (9'), Butler (63'), Thompson (89')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 39
Exeter
2-1
Stevenage
Stubbs (28', 44')
Key (69'), Sweeney (90')
Norris (38')
Cuthbert (18'), Barry (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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