We said: Stevenage 3-1 Exeter City
Stevenage will come into the game full of confidence after their strong win over Wrexham last time out, while the visitors will be looking to stop the rot.
However, considering their poor form - as well as the fact that they have so many defenders out - it is hard to see Exeter taking anything from this weekend's match, so expect a fourth consecutive win for the Boro on Saturday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 48.46%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.