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League One | Gameweek 38
Mar 13, 2024 at 8pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Stevenage

Peterborough
3 - 1
Stevenage

Burrows (44' pen.), Katongo (64'), Poku (77')
Kyprianou (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Freeman (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 0-0 Fleetwood
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 2-1 Stevenage

Peterborough are enjoying a scintillating run of form, and while they will face a tricky test on Wednesday, we think that they will do enough to claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 62.16%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 17.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Stevenage win it was 1-2 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawStevenage
62.16% (-1.08 -1.08) 20.44% (0.485 0.48) 17.4% (0.6 0.6)
Both teams to score 55.44% (-0.428 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.55% (-1.174 -1.17)40.45% (1.176 1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.17% (-1.218 -1.22)62.83% (1.221 1.22)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.51% (-0.655 -0.66)12.49% (0.66 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.54% (-1.385 -1.39)38.46% (1.389 1.39)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.35% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)36.65% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.56% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)73.43% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 62.16%
    Stevenage 17.4%
    Draw 20.44%
Peterborough UnitedDrawStevenage
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.9% (0.032 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.52% (0.271 0.27)
3-1 @ 6.9% (-0.16 -0.16)
3-0 @ 6.87% (-0.157 -0.16)
4-1 @ 3.59% (-0.179 -0.18)
4-0 @ 3.57% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.8% (-0.091 -0.09)
5-1 @ 1.49% (-0.115 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.49% (-0.114 -0.11)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 62.16%
1-1 @ 9.56% (0.268 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.99% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.58% (0.243 0.24)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.44%
1-2 @ 4.8% (0.133 0.13)
0-1 @ 4.59% (0.243 0.24)
0-2 @ 2.31% (0.12 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.61% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 17.4%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Stevenage

Peterborough United
83.6%
Draw
10.9%
Stevenage
5.5%
55
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Stevenage
2-2
Peterborough
Wildin (22'), Thompson (30')
Piergianni (34'), Ashby-Hammond (66')
Randall (51'), Jade-Jones (81')
Aug 30, 2022 7.30pm
Group Stage
Peterborough
1-2
Stevenage
Jade-Jones (9')
Knight (50')
J (18'), Piergianni (84')
Reeves (32'), Earley (50')
Aug 23, 2022 7.45pm
Second Round
Stevenage
1-0
Peterborough
Reid (90+3')
Taylor (70')

Taylor (2'), Knight (64')
Nov 19, 2019 7.45pm
First Round
Peterborough
2-0
Stevenage
Eisa (11'), Jade-Jones (94')
Toney (55')

Fernandez (56')
Nov 9, 2019 3pm
First Round
Stevenage
1-1
Peterborough
List (56')
Watts (6'), Stokes (81')
Maddison (79')
Thompson (24'), Butler (47'), Woodyard (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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