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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Stevenage |
38.28% ( 0.11) | 25.71% ( -0.08) | 36% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 55.19% ( 0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.06% ( 0.37) | 48.93% ( -0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.97% ( 0.33) | 71.02% ( -0.33) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.93% ( 0.23) | 25.07% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.25% ( 0.31) | 59.75% ( -0.31) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.65% ( 0.16) | 26.34% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.51% ( 0.21) | 61.48% ( -0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Stevenage |
1-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 38.28% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.61% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.26% Total : 36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 17 | 41 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 |
6 | Reading | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 31 |
7 | Barnsley | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 30 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 30 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 28 |
10 | Blackpool | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Stevenage | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 24 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 24 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 22 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |