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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Barnsley

Burton Albion
1 - 3
Barnsley

Powell (37')
FT(HT: 1-0)
McAtee (54', 64'), Connell (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 1-1 Burton Albion
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 0-2 Cambridge
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 1-2 Barnsley

Burton's recent form has been extremely poor, and they have only managed to triumph in six of their 19 home league matches this season. Barnsley are the second-best side on the road and are currently on a three-match winning run away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 56.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 20.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.91%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-0 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawBarnsley
20.55% (-0.287 -0.29) 22.95% (0.327 0.33) 56.51% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Both teams to score 52.73% (-1.499 -1.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.2% (-1.779 -1.78)46.8% (1.782 1.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.94% (-1.685 -1.69)69.06% (1.688 1.69)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.05% (-1.301 -1.3)36.96% (1.305 1.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.26% (-1.318 -1.32)73.74% (1.322 1.32)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.65% (-0.63500000000001 -0.64)16.35% (0.639 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.03% (-1.163 -1.16)45.97% (1.168 1.17)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 20.55%
    Barnsley 56.5%
    Draw 22.95%
Burton AlbionDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 6.02% (0.237 0.24)
2-1 @ 5.42% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-0 @ 3% (0.015 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.8% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-0 @ 0.99% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 20.55%
1-1 @ 10.89% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 6.04% (0.441 0.44)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.193 -0.19)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.95%
0-1 @ 10.94% (0.58 0.58)
0-2 @ 9.91% (0.314 0.31)
1-2 @ 9.86% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.98% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
1-3 @ 5.95% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.184 -0.18)
0-4 @ 2.71% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.7% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-4 @ 1.34% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-5 @ 0.98% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-5 @ 0.98% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 56.5%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Barnsley

Burton Albion
Draw
Barnsley
Burton Albion
37.5%
Draw
6.3%
Barnsley
56.3%
16
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Barnsley
2-0
Burton Albion
Cole (21', 68')
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Barnsley
2-0
Burton Albion
Cole (36', 73')
Apr 6, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 41
Burton Albion
3-1
Barnsley
Allen (5'), Boyce (81'), Harness (89')
Boyce (8')
Woodrow (85' pen.)
Bahre (74'), Woodrow (83')
Feb 19, 2019 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham40298373294495
2Wrexham422410859322782
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe422312767373081
4Stockport CountyStockport422211963372677
5Charlton AthleticCharlton4222101058382076
6Reading421912115951869
7Leyton Orient422061661431866
8Bolton WanderersBolton42206166362166
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield421971654441064
10Blackpool4115151163531060
11Barnsley42169176064-457
12Lincoln CityLincoln421413155749855
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham42159184853-554
14Stevenage411410173844-652
15Exeter CityExeter421410184558-1352
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough41139196272-1048
17Wigan AthleticWigan411114163539-447
18Mansfield TownMansfield41138204959-1047
19Northampton TownNorthampton421114174259-1747
20Burton Albion411012194459-1542
21Bristol Rovers42126244268-2642
22Crawley TownCrawley4299244981-3236
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge42811234066-2635
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4279263771-3430


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