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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 56.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 20.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.91%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-0 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Barnsley |
20.55% (![]() | 22.95% (![]() | 56.51% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.73% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.2% (![]() | 46.8% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.94% (![]() | 69.06% (![]() |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.05% (![]() | 36.96% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.26% (![]() | 73.74% (![]() |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.65% (![]() | 16.35% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.03% (![]() | 45.97% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Barnsley |
1-0 @ 6.02% (![]() 2-1 @ 5.42% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.8% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 1.69% Total : 20.55% | 1-1 @ 10.89% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.04% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.91% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.95% | 0-1 @ 10.94% (![]() 0-2 @ 9.91% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.86% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.98% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.95% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.96% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.71% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.7% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.34% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 0.98% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.2% Total : 56.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 29 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 69 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 56 | 31 | 25 | 60 |
3 | Wrexham | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 58 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 57 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 52 |
6 | Leyton Orient | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 46 | 27 | 19 | 50 |
7 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 30 | 10 | 50 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 50 | 48 | 2 | 50 |
9 | Reading | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
10 | Barnsley | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 43 |
11 | Blackpool | 31 | 9 | 14 | 8 | 45 | 44 | 1 | 41 |
12 | Stevenage | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 40 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 38 |
15 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 38 |
16 | Exeter CityExeter | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 35 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 35 |
18 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 34 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 33 |
20 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 31 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 28 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 27 |
23 | Burton Albion | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | 48 | -16 | 26 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 23 |
> League One Full Table |