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League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Stevenage

Exeter
1 - 0
Stevenage

Cole (38')
Carroll (22'), Hemmings (69'), Thompson (90+3'), Sweeney (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Butler (7'), Thompson (47'), Watts (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 1-2 Exeter
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 0-0 Stevenage
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-1 Stevenage

Exeter will be feeling good about themselves at the moment due to their strong form, and they will be hosting a Stevenage side that are currently struggling to put wins on the board. This match could go either way, but we are expecting the points to be shared in a low-scoring draw on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 30.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawStevenage
30.14% (0.044999999999998 0.04) 26.75% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 43.1% (-0.064 -0.06)
Both teams to score 50.2% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.4% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)54.6% (0.053999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.06% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)75.94% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.03% (0.0020000000000095 0)32.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.44% (0.0040000000000013 0)69.56% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.89% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)25.11% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.19% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)59.81% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 30.14%
    Stevenage 43.1%
    Draw 26.75%
Exeter CityDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 9.19% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 5.1% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.89% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 30.14%
1-1 @ 12.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.28% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.75%
0-1 @ 11.44% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.77% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.91% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.64% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.4% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 43.1%

How you voted: Exeter vs Stevenage

Exeter City
50.0%
Draw
12.5%
Stevenage
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Stevenage
1-1
Exeter
Piergianni (45+1')
Butler (53')
Wildschut (47')
Aitchison (23'), Caldwell (24'), Taylor (43'), Sweeney (46'), Sinisalo (64'), Niskanen (75')
Aitchison (43')
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Second Round
Exeter
1-1
Stevenage
Exeter win 5-3 on penalties
Hartridge (5')
Trevitt (8'), Sweeney (30')
Roberts (69')
Evans (9'), Butler (63'), Thompson (89')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 39
Exeter
2-1
Stevenage
Stubbs (28', 44')
Key (69'), Sweeney (90')
Norris (38')
Cuthbert (18'), Barry (90+4')
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 11
Stevenage
2-2
Exeter
List (23', 59')
Taylor (57'), Cuthbert (66')
Nombe (10'), Jay (50')
Sweeney (29'), Hartridge (44'), Ray (47'), Atangana (84')
Feb 2, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 19
Stevenage
0-1
Exeter

Coker (55')
McArdle (28')
Sweeney (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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