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League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Stevenage

Exeter
1 - 0
Stevenage

Cole (38')
Carroll (22'), Hemmings (69'), Thompson (90+3'), Sweeney (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Butler (7'), Thompson (47'), Watts (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 1-2 Exeter
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 0-0 Stevenage
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-1 Stevenage

Exeter will be feeling good about themselves at the moment due to their strong form, and they will be hosting a Stevenage side that are currently struggling to put wins on the board. This match could go either way, but we are expecting the points to be shared in a low-scoring draw on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 30.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawStevenage
30.14% (0.044999999999998 0.04) 26.75% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 43.1% (-0.064 -0.06)
Both teams to score 50.2% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.4% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)54.6% (0.053999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.06% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)75.94% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.03% (0.0020000000000095 0)32.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.44% (0.0040000000000013 0)69.56% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.89% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)25.11% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.19% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)59.81% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 30.14%
    Stevenage 43.1%
    Draw 26.75%
Exeter CityDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 9.19% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 5.1% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.89% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 30.14%
1-1 @ 12.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.28% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.75%
0-1 @ 11.44% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.77% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.91% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.64% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.4% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 43.1%

How you voted: Exeter vs Stevenage

Exeter City
50.0%
Draw
12.5%
Stevenage
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Stevenage
1-1
Exeter
Piergianni (45+1')
Butler (53')
Wildschut (47')
Aitchison (23'), Caldwell (24'), Taylor (43'), Sweeney (46'), Sinisalo (64'), Niskanen (75')
Aitchison (43')
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Second Round
Exeter
1-1
Stevenage
Exeter win 5-3 on penalties
Hartridge (5')
Trevitt (8'), Sweeney (30')
Roberts (69')
Evans (9'), Butler (63'), Thompson (89')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 39
Exeter
2-1
Stevenage
Stubbs (28', 44')
Key (69'), Sweeney (90')
Norris (38')
Cuthbert (18'), Barry (90+4')
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 11
Stevenage
2-2
Exeter
List (23', 59')
Taylor (57'), Cuthbert (66')
Nombe (10'), Jay (50')
Sweeney (29'), Hartridge (44'), Ray (47'), Atangana (84')
Feb 2, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 19
Stevenage
0-1
Exeter

Coker (55')
McArdle (28')
Sweeney (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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