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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 58.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 18.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.21%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Stevenage |
18.21% ( -0.4) | 23.27% ( -0.37) | 58.52% ( 0.76) |
Both teams to score 47.94% ( 0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.76% ( 0.89) | 51.24% ( -0.89) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.92% ( 0.77) | 73.08% ( -0.77) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.91% ( 0.06) | 42.09% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.49% ( 0.05) | 78.51% ( -0.05) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.77% ( 0.6) | 17.23% ( -0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.47% ( 1.04) | 47.52% ( -1.04) |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Stevenage |
1-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.86% Total : 18.21% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.78% Total : 23.26% | 0-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 11.21% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.7% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 6.57% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 5.69% ( 0.14) 0-4 @ 2.89% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 2.5% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.05) 0-5 @ 1.02% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.64% Total : 58.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |