League One | Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Brunton Park
Carlisle2 - 3Barnsley
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Charlton 3-2 Carlisle
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 1-5 Lincoln
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One
We said: Carlisle United 0-2 Barnsley
Although Barnsley experienced a disappointing result at the weekend, we think that the promotion hopefuls will issue an immediate response and return to winning ways against a struggling Carlisle side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 59.21%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 18.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Barnsley |
18.98% ( 1.03) | 21.81% ( 1.2) | 59.21% ( -2.23) |
| Both teams to score 53.86% ( -2.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
