League Two

League Two | Gameweek 23

Jan 18, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Lamex Stadium

Stevenage
2 - 1
Crawley

Taylor (29'), Norris (73')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Nichols (45+1')
Tilley (68'), Frost (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Stevenage and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Stevenage 1-2 Crawley Town

Tisdale may have been pleased with the way his side performed last weekend, and their quality in the final third has undoubtedly improved, but Crawley have been stronger defensively, with a lot more structure and balance all over the pitch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Stevenage	Draw	Crawley Town
33.14%	26.23%	40.62%

Both teams to score 52.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.41%

51.58%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.62%

73.37%

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.63%

29.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.64%

65.35%

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.97%

25.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.3%

59.69%

Score Analysis

Stevenage 33.14%

Crawley Town 40.62%

Draw 26.22%

Stevenage	Draw	Crawley Town
1-0 @ 9.01% 2-1 @ 7.64% 2-0 @ 5.52% 3-1 @ 3.12% 3-0 @ 2.25% 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.49% Total : 33.14%	1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 7.35% 2-2 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.22%	0-1 @ 10.18% 1-2 @ 8.64% 0-2 @ 7.05% 1-3 @ 3.99% 0-3 @ 3.26% 2-3 @ 2.44% 1-4 @ 1.38% 0-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.55% Total : 40.62%