League Two

League Two | Gameweek 24

Dec 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

The Lamex Stadium

Stevenage
3 - 1
Crawley

Roberts (10'), Piergianni (40', 83')
Gilbey (85')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Telford (89' pen.)

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Stevenage and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-0 Stevenage
Tuesday, December 27 at 12.30pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Crawley Town

All competitions

Last Game: Crawley 1-2 Sutton
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Stevenage 2-1 Crawley Town

Stevenage have won nine of their 11 home games this term, and we think that they will record another victory when they face a Crawley side who are still searching for their first away win of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 69.08%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 11.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.46%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
Stevenage	Draw	Crawley Town
69.08% ( 0.13)	19.12% ( -0.07)	11.79% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 45.31% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.54% (

0.14)

46.46% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.26% (

0.13)

68.73% (

-0.13)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.66% (

0.08)

12.33% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.86% (

0.16)

38.14% (

-0.16)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.68% (

-0.01)

48.31% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.54% (

-0.01)

83.46% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Stevenage 69.07%

Crawley Town 11.79%

Draw 19.12%

Stevenage	Draw	Crawley Town
2-0 @ 13.04% 1-0 @ 12.46% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0) 3-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 69.07%	1-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.45% ( -0) Other @ 0.64% Total : 19.12%	0-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 11.79%