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Stevenage
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Crawley Town

Stevenage
3 - 1
Crawley

Roberts (10'), Piergianni (40', 83')
Gilbey (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Telford (89' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Stevenage and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-0 Stevenage
Tuesday, December 27 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 1-2 Sutton
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Stevenage 2-1 Crawley Town

Stevenage have won nine of their 11 home games this term, and we think that they will record another victory when they face a Crawley side who are still searching for their first away win of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 69.08%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 11.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.46%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawCrawley Town
69.08% (0.12599999999999 0.13) 19.12% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07) 11.79% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 45.31% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.54% (0.143 0.14)46.46% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.26% (0.135 0.13)68.73% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.66% (0.076999999999998 0.08)12.33% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.86% (0.16 0.16)38.14% (-0.159 -0.16)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.68% (-0.012 -0.01)48.31% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.54% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)83.46% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 69.07%
    Crawley Town 11.79%
    Draw 19.12%
StevenageDrawCrawley Town
2-0 @ 13.04%
1-0 @ 12.46% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 9.1% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.62% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.76% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.47% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.99% (0.017 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.45% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 69.07%
1-1 @ 9.07% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.96% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 19.12%
0-1 @ 4.33% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-2 @ 3.3% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.58% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 11.79%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Crawley

Stevenage
88.9%
Draw
7.4%
Crawley Town
3.7%
27
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Crawley
1-2
Stevenage
Nadesan (47')
Craig (14')
Roberts (24'), Norris (85' pen.)
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Crawley
2-2
Stevenage
Nichols (34', 46')
Tilley (61')
Read (80'), Cuthbert (90+2')
Clements (37')
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
Stevenage
2-1
Crawley
Taylor (29'), Norris (73')
Nichols (45+1')
Tilley (68'), Frost (77')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Stevenage
3-3
Crawley
Norris (21' pen., 74'), Read (81')
Prosser (53')
Francomb (24'), Vancooten (80' og.), Powell (90+2')
McNerney (77')
Feb 16, 2021 7pm
Crawley
0-1
Stevenage

Craig (27'), Nichols (60'), Dallison (81')
Osborne (83')
Norris (37'), Pett (47'), Prosser (60'), Wildin (69'), Lines (73'), Coker (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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