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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 62.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 15.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.07%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sunderland in this match.
Result | ||
Sunderland | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
62.11% | 22.15% | 15.74% |
Both teams to score 46.4% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.3% | 50.7% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.4% | 72.6% |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.19% | 15.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.03% | 44.97% |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.11% | 44.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.16% | 80.84% |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
1-0 @ 13.08% 2-0 @ 12.07% 2-1 @ 9.67% 3-0 @ 7.42% 3-1 @ 5.95% 4-0 @ 3.42% 4-1 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2.38% 5-0 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 1.1% 5-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.99% Total : 62.1% | 1-1 @ 10.48% 0-0 @ 7.1% 2-2 @ 3.87% Other @ 0.7% Total : 22.15% | 0-1 @ 5.68% 1-2 @ 4.2% 0-2 @ 2.28% 1-3 @ 1.12% 2-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.43% Total : 15.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |