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League One | Gameweek 27
Feb 27, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
The DW Stadium
Bolton logo

Wigan
1 - 0
Bolton

Humphrys (69')
Magennis (45'), Smith (60'), Smith (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Maghoma (7'), Ogbeta (24'), Thomason (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Wigan Athletic and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 1-1 Cheltenham
Friday, February 23 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 4-1 Bolton
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wigan Athletic 1-3 Bolton Wanderers

After falling to defeat at the weekend, Bolton will be determined to get their promotion bid back on track in Tuesday's meeting with one of their local rivals, and we think that the visitors will have the extra quality required to pick up all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawBolton Wanderers
27.66% (2.772 2.77) 25.07% (0.192 0.19) 47.27% (-2.966 -2.97)
Both teams to score 53.9% (1.805 1.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.91% (1.224 1.22)49.08% (-1.226 -1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.84% (1.096 1.1)71.16% (-1.098 -1.1)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.04% (2.9 2.9)31.95% (-2.902 -2.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.59% (3.182 3.18)68.41% (-3.183 -3.18)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.2% (-0.75800000000001 -0.76)20.79% (0.756 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.55% (-1.204 -1.2)53.45% (1.202 1.2)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 27.66%
    Bolton Wanderers 47.26%
    Draw 25.07%
Wigan AthleticDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 7.58% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 6.79% (0.555 0.56)
2-0 @ 4.32% (0.445 0.45)
3-1 @ 2.58% (0.392 0.39)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.267 0.27)
3-0 @ 1.64% (0.281 0.28)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 27.66%
1-1 @ 11.9% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.64% (-0.339 -0.34)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.32 0.32)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.118 0.12)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 10.43% (-0.79 -0.79)
1-2 @ 9.35% (-0.163 -0.16)
0-2 @ 8.19% (-0.83 -0.83)
1-3 @ 4.89% (-0.203 -0.2)
0-3 @ 4.29% (-0.546 -0.55)
2-3 @ 2.79% (0.106 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.92% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-4 @ 1.68% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 47.26%

How you voted: Wigan vs Bolton

Wigan Athletic
37.2%
Draw
16.3%
Bolton Wanderers
46.5%
43
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 4
Bolton
0-4
Wigan

Iredale (53'), Jones (72')
Wyke (12', 75'), Humphrys (24', 45+4')
Humphrys (45'), Watts (56'), Adeeko (80')
Apr 2, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 41
Wigan
1-1
Bolton
McClean (7')
McClean (16')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 13
Bolton
0-4
Wigan

Johnston (27'), Santos (64'), Thomason (87')
Keane (6'), McClean (51', 81'), Lang (65')
Cousins (48'), Lang (56'), Pearce (77'), Massey (86')
Aug 24, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Wigan
0-0
Bolton
Wigan win 5-4 on penalties
Smith (38'), Darikwa (41'), McClean (43'), Power (44'), Pearce (60')
Kachunga (45+1'), Afolayan (75'), Lee (86')
Mar 16, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 38
Wigan
5-2
Bolton
Garner (4'), Massey (51'), Powell (55'), Jacobs (69'), Clarke (81')
O'Neil (62'), Ameobi (80')
Lowe (3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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