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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
27.66% ( 2.77) | 25.07% ( 0.19) | 47.27% ( -2.97) |
Both teams to score 53.9% ( 1.81) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.91% ( 1.22) | 49.08% ( -1.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.84% ( 1.1) | 71.16% ( -1.1) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.04% ( 2.9) | 31.95% ( -2.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.59% ( 3.18) | 68.41% ( -3.18) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.2% ( -0.76) | 20.79% ( 0.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.55% ( -1.2) | 53.45% ( 1.2) |
Score Analysis |
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 6.79% ( 0.56) 2-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.45) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.39) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.27) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.28) Other @ 2.71% Total : 27.66% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.32) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 10.43% ( -0.79) 1-2 @ 9.35% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 8.19% ( -0.83) 1-3 @ 4.89% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.55) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.26) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.61% Total : 47.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 17 | 41 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 |
6 | Reading | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 31 |
7 | Barnsley | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 30 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 30 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 28 |
10 | Blackpool | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Stevenage | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 24 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 24 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 22 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |