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League One | Gameweek 27
Feb 27, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
The DW Stadium
Bolton logo

Wigan
1 - 0
Bolton

Humphrys (69')
Magennis (45'), Smith (60'), Smith (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Maghoma (7'), Ogbeta (24'), Thomason (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Wigan Athletic and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 1-1 Cheltenham
Friday, February 23 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 4-1 Bolton
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wigan Athletic 1-3 Bolton Wanderers

After falling to defeat at the weekend, Bolton will be determined to get their promotion bid back on track in Tuesday's meeting with one of their local rivals, and we think that the visitors will have the extra quality required to pick up all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawBolton Wanderers
27.66% (2.772 2.77) 25.07% (0.192 0.19) 47.27% (-2.966 -2.97)
Both teams to score 53.9% (1.805 1.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.91% (1.224 1.22)49.08% (-1.226 -1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.84% (1.096 1.1)71.16% (-1.098 -1.1)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.04% (2.9 2.9)31.95% (-2.902 -2.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.59% (3.182 3.18)68.41% (-3.183 -3.18)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.2% (-0.75800000000001 -0.76)20.79% (0.756 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.55% (-1.204 -1.2)53.45% (1.202 1.2)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 27.66%
    Bolton Wanderers 47.26%
    Draw 25.07%
Wigan AthleticDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 7.58% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 6.79% (0.555 0.56)
2-0 @ 4.32% (0.445 0.45)
3-1 @ 2.58% (0.392 0.39)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.267 0.27)
3-0 @ 1.64% (0.281 0.28)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 27.66%
1-1 @ 11.9% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.64% (-0.339 -0.34)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.32 0.32)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.118 0.12)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 10.43% (-0.79 -0.79)
1-2 @ 9.35% (-0.163 -0.16)
0-2 @ 8.19% (-0.83 -0.83)
1-3 @ 4.89% (-0.203 -0.2)
0-3 @ 4.29% (-0.546 -0.55)
2-3 @ 2.79% (0.106 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.92% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-4 @ 1.68% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 47.26%

How you voted: Wigan vs Bolton

Wigan Athletic
37.2%
Draw
16.3%
Bolton Wanderers
46.5%
43
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 4
Bolton
0-4
Wigan

Iredale (53'), Jones (72')
Wyke (12', 75'), Humphrys (24', 45+4')
Humphrys (45'), Watts (56'), Adeeko (80')
Apr 2, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 41
Wigan
1-1
Bolton
McClean (7')
McClean (16')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 13
Bolton
0-4
Wigan

Johnston (27'), Santos (64'), Thomason (87')
Keane (6'), McClean (51', 81'), Lang (65')
Cousins (48'), Lang (56'), Pearce (77'), Massey (86')
Aug 24, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Wigan
0-0
Bolton
Wigan win 5-4 on penalties
Smith (38'), Darikwa (41'), McClean (43'), Power (44'), Pearce (60')
Kachunga (45+1'), Afolayan (75'), Lee (86')
Mar 16, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 38
Wigan
5-2
Bolton
Garner (4'), Massey (51'), Powell (55'), Jacobs (69'), Clarke (81')
O'Neil (62'), Ameobi (80')
Lowe (3')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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