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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 54.53%. A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 22.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
54.53% ( -0.13) | 22.59% ( 0.03) | 22.88% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 57.24% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.61% ( -0.04) | 42.39% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.2% ( -0.04) | 64.8% ( 0.04) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.52% ( -0.06) | 15.48% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.64% ( -0.11) | 44.36% ( 0.11) |
Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.73% ( 0.06) | 32.27% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.23% ( 0.07) | 68.77% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.32% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.69% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 54.53% | 1-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.59% | 1-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 22.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 17 | 41 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 |
6 | Reading | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 31 |
7 | Barnsley | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 30 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 30 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 28 |
10 | Blackpool | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Stevenage | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 24 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 24 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 22 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |