League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
We said: Oxford United 2-1 Wigan Athletic
With stakes growing in the battle for playoff places in League One, Oxford United know that they cannot afford a lot of slip ups. The hosts should edge this match but we expect the visitors to put up a good fight.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 44.96% . A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.4% .
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.74%) . The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (7.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%) . The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
Result Oxford United Draw Wigan Athletic 44.96% ( 0.02) 25.41% ( 0.02) 29.63% ( -0.04)
Both teams to score 54.11% ( -0.09)
50.59% ( -0.1) 49.41% ( 0.1)
28.55% ( -0.09) 71.45% ( 0.09)
78.04% ( -0.03) 21.96% ( 0.03)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 44.76% ( -0.05) 55.24% ( 0.05)
69.34% ( -0.08) 30.66% ( 0.08)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 33.09% ( -0.09) 66.91% ( 0.09)
Oxford United 44.95%
Wigan Athletic 29.63%
Draw 25.41%
Oxford United Draw Wigan Athletic 1-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.15% 2-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.91% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.48% 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 44.95% 1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.41% 0-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.7% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.04% Total : 29.63%
How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Wigan
Oxford United
Draw
Wigan Athletic
12
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-07-05 01:26:57
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