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League One
Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
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Oxford Utd
4 - 2
Wigan

Murphy (45+3'), Brannagan (55'), Rodrigues (76'), Goodrham (90+4')
Dale (39'), Moore (64'), Brannagan (71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jones (41'), Aasgaard (80')
Hughes (12'), Maloney (13'), Adeeko (23'), Jones (42'), Sze (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Oxford United and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
Last Game: Blackpool 1-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One

Wigan Athletic

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Wigan 1-2 Exeter
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 2-1 Wigan Athletic

 With stakes growing in the battle for playoff places in League One, Oxford United know that they cannot afford a lot of slip ups. The hosts should edge this match but we expect the visitors to put up a good fight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawWigan Athletic
44.96% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 25.41% (0.02 0.02) 29.63% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 54.11% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.59% (-0.101 -0.1)49.41% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.55% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)71.45% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.04% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)21.96% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.76% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)55.24% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.34% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)30.66% (0.077000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.09% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)66.91% (0.092000000000013 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 44.95%
    Wigan Athletic 29.63%
    Draw 25.41%
Oxford UnitedDrawWigan Athletic
1-0 @ 10.2% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.15%
2-0 @ 7.74% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.62% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 3.91% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.48%
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 44.95%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.73% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 7.96% (0.015 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.7% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 29.63%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Wigan

Oxford United
66.7%
Draw
0.0%
Wigan Athletic
33.3%
12
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Wigan
2-0
Oxford Utd
Humphrys (17'), Lang (80')
Adeeko (20'), Shaw (60'), Lang (84')

Rodriguez (79'), Beadle (81')
> Preview
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Wigan
1-1
Oxford Utd
Lang (36')
Shinnie (49'), Lang (65')
Taylor (23')
Moore (34'), Kane (45+2'), Brannagan (65'), McNally (69')
> Preview
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 23
Oxford Utd
2-3
Wigan
Williams (33'), Taylor (59')
Taylor (36'), McGuane (90+1')
Keane (8'), Power (32'), McClean (86')
Darikwa (30'), Power (36'), Naylor (44'), Whatmough (72'), McClean (90')
> Preview
Feb 14, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 29
Oxford Utd
2-1
Wigan
Winnall (72'), Moore (83')
Lang (57')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 13
Wigan
1-2
Oxford Utd
Aasgaard (89')
James (83'), Merrie (90+8')
Taylor (61'), Henry (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628
> League One Full Table


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