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League One
Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
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Oxford Utd
4 - 2
Wigan

Murphy (45+3'), Brannagan (55'), Rodrigues (76'), Goodrham (90+4')
Dale (39'), Moore (64'), Brannagan (71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jones (41'), Aasgaard (80')
Hughes (12'), Maloney (13'), Adeeko (23'), Jones (42'), Sze (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Oxford United and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
Last Game: Blackpool 1-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One

Wigan Athletic

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Wigan 1-2 Exeter
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 2-1 Wigan Athletic

 With stakes growing in the battle for playoff places in League One, Oxford United know that they cannot afford a lot of slip ups. The hosts should edge this match but we expect the visitors to put up a good fight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawWigan Athletic
44.96% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 25.41% (0.02 0.02) 29.63% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 54.11% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.59% (-0.101 -0.1)49.41% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.55% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)71.45% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.04% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)21.96% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.76% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)55.24% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.34% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)30.66% (0.077000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.09% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)66.91% (0.092000000000013 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 44.95%
    Wigan Athletic 29.63%
    Draw 25.41%
Oxford UnitedDrawWigan Athletic
1-0 @ 10.2% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.15%
2-0 @ 7.74% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.62% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 3.91% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.48%
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 44.95%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.73% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 7.96% (0.015 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.7% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 29.63%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Wigan

Oxford United
66.7%
Draw
0.0%
Wigan Athletic
33.3%
12
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Wigan
2-0
Oxford Utd
Humphrys (17'), Lang (80')
Adeeko (20'), Shaw (60'), Lang (84')

Rodriguez (79'), Beadle (81')
> Preview
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Wigan
1-1
Oxford Utd
Lang (36')
Shinnie (49'), Lang (65')
Taylor (23')
Moore (34'), Kane (45+2'), Brannagan (65'), McNally (69')
> Preview
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 23
Oxford Utd
2-3
Wigan
Williams (33'), Taylor (59')
Taylor (36'), McGuane (90+1')
Keane (8'), Power (32'), McClean (86')
Darikwa (30'), Power (36'), Naylor (44'), Whatmough (72'), McClean (90')
> Preview
Feb 14, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 29
Oxford Utd
2-1
Wigan
Winnall (72'), Moore (83')
Lang (57')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 13
Wigan
1-2
Oxford Utd
Aasgaard (89')
James (83'), Merrie (90+8')
Taylor (61'), Henry (87')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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