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League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Barnsley

Bolton
1 - 1
Barnsley

Ashworth (64')
Maghoma (18'), Dempsey (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cole (5')
Durand de Gevigney (2'), Connell (35'), Williams (47'), Cole (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 1-2 Exeter
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Barnsley

We anticipate a close encounter between two sides full of quality on Saturday but give a slight edge to the hosts, who have more momentum on their side and their sights set on taking top spot in the coming weeks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawBarnsley
48.86% (-2.189 -2.19) 22.78% (0.354 0.35) 28.35% (1.826 1.83)
Both teams to score 62.3% (0.319 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.74% (-0.266 -0.27)38.25% (0.259 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.47% (-0.282 -0.28)60.53% (0.274 0.27)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.04% (-0.86199999999999 -0.86)15.95% (0.855 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.76% (-1.598 -1.6)45.23% (1.592 1.59)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.12% (1.123 1.12)25.87% (-1.131 -1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.14% (1.497 1.5)60.85% (-1.506 -1.51)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 48.86%
    Barnsley 28.35%
    Draw 22.78%
Bolton WanderersDrawBarnsley
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.139 -0.14)
1-0 @ 7.58% (-0.132 -0.13)
2-0 @ 6.95% (-0.333 -0.33)
3-1 @ 5.75% (-0.261 -0.26)
3-0 @ 4.25% (-0.337 -0.34)
3-2 @ 3.89% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.64% (-0.203 -0.2)
4-0 @ 1.95% (-0.218 -0.22)
4-2 @ 1.78% (-0.076 -0.08)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 48.86%
1-1 @ 10.24% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 6.36% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 4.13% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.75% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.78%
1-2 @ 6.92% (0.318 0.32)
0-1 @ 5.58% (0.243 0.24)
0-2 @ 3.77% (0.278 0.28)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.238 0.24)
2-3 @ 2.86% (0.138 0.14)
0-3 @ 1.7% (0.175 0.18)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.111 0.11)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 28.35%

How you voted: Bolton vs Barnsley

Bolton Wanderers
77.8%
Draw
11.1%
Barnsley
11.1%
9
Head to Head
May 19, 2023 8pm
May 13, 2023 3pm
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Barnsley
0-3
Bolton
Charles (12' pen.), Dadi Bodvarsson (41'), Dempsey (76')
Nov 5, 2022 2pm
First Round
Bolton
1-2
Barnsley
Santos (6' og.), Phillips (33')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham37268363253886
2Wrexham39238854302477
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe382111665362974
4Charlton AthleticCharlton392091053351869
5Stockport CountyStockport391911955361968
6Reading381711105547862
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield381871352381461
8Bolton WanderersBolton38186146057360
9Leyton Orient381851554381659
10Blackpool391415105951857
11Barnsley39159155355-254
12Lincoln CityLincoln391311155346750
13Stevenage381310153539-449
14Mansfield TownMansfield38138174552-747
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough38129175763-645
16Rotherham UnitedRotherham38129174249-745
17Exeter CityExeter38129174053-1345
18Wigan AthleticWigan371111153437-344
19Northampton TownNorthampton391013163857-1943
20Bristol Rovers39126214063-2342
21Burton Albion38812183955-1636
22Crawley TownCrawley3999214471-2736
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge39710223763-2631
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3877243566-3128


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