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League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Barnsley

Bolton
1 - 1
Barnsley

Ashworth (64')
Maghoma (18'), Dempsey (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cole (5')
Durand de Gevigney (2'), Connell (35'), Williams (47'), Cole (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 1-2 Exeter
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Barnsley

We anticipate a close encounter between two sides full of quality on Saturday but give a slight edge to the hosts, who have more momentum on their side and their sights set on taking top spot in the coming weeks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawBarnsley
48.86% (-2.189 -2.19) 22.78% (0.354 0.35) 28.35% (1.826 1.83)
Both teams to score 62.3% (0.319 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.74% (-0.266 -0.27)38.25% (0.259 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.47% (-0.282 -0.28)60.53% (0.274 0.27)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.04% (-0.86199999999999 -0.86)15.95% (0.855 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.76% (-1.598 -1.6)45.23% (1.592 1.59)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.12% (1.123 1.12)25.87% (-1.131 -1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.14% (1.497 1.5)60.85% (-1.506 -1.51)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 48.86%
    Barnsley 28.35%
    Draw 22.78%
Bolton WanderersDrawBarnsley
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.139 -0.14)
1-0 @ 7.58% (-0.132 -0.13)
2-0 @ 6.95% (-0.333 -0.33)
3-1 @ 5.75% (-0.261 -0.26)
3-0 @ 4.25% (-0.337 -0.34)
3-2 @ 3.89% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.64% (-0.203 -0.2)
4-0 @ 1.95% (-0.218 -0.22)
4-2 @ 1.78% (-0.076 -0.08)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 48.86%
1-1 @ 10.24% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 6.36% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 4.13% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.75% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.78%
1-2 @ 6.92% (0.318 0.32)
0-1 @ 5.58% (0.243 0.24)
0-2 @ 3.77% (0.278 0.28)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.238 0.24)
2-3 @ 2.86% (0.138 0.14)
0-3 @ 1.7% (0.175 0.18)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.111 0.11)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 28.35%

How you voted: Bolton vs Barnsley

Bolton Wanderers
77.8%
Draw
11.1%
Barnsley
11.1%
9
Head to Head
May 19, 2023 8pm
May 13, 2023 3pm
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Barnsley
0-3
Bolton
Charles (12' pen.), Dadi Bodvarsson (41'), Dempsey (76')
Nov 5, 2022 2pm
First Round
Bolton
1-2
Barnsley
Santos (6' og.), Phillips (33')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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