Wigan appear to be the far stronger of the two sides, and, with more confidence given the contrasting form, we see them recording a relatively routine home win on Tuesday.
Artell's side have found it tough to keep things tight at the back recently, and the hosts have the tools to exploit a struggling back line.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 66.78%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 12.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.95%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
