League One

League One | Gameweek 33

Feb 12, 2022 at 3pm UK

Crown Ground

Accrington
4 - 1
Crewe

Sykes (12', 60'), Leigh (51'), McConville (64')
Butcher (29'), Sykes (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Agyei (90+3')
Agyei (16'), Johnson (63'), Alebiousu (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Accrington Stanley 3-1 Crewe Alexandra

Given their current form, we cannot see Crewe leaving the Wham Stadium with anything on Saturday. John Coleman's side will be boosted by an impressive win on Tuesday, while their visitors arrive devoid of confidence and with defensive issues that can be exploited. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 50.6%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 24.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.

Result
Accrington Stanley	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
50.6%	24.64%	24.77%

Both teams to score 52.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.59%

49.41%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.54%

71.46%

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.46%

19.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.56%

51.44%

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.53%

34.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.81%

71.18%

Score Analysis

Accrington Stanley 50.59%

Crewe Alexandra 24.77%

Draw 24.63%

Accrington Stanley	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 10.99% 2-1 @ 9.56% 2-0 @ 8.98% 3-1 @ 5.21% 3-0 @ 4.89% 3-2 @ 2.77% 4-1 @ 2.13% 4-0 @ 2% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.95% Total : 50.59%	1-1 @ 11.71% 0-0 @ 6.73% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.63%	0-1 @ 7.17% 1-2 @ 6.24% 0-2 @ 3.82% 1-3 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 1.81% 0-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.16% Total : 24.77%