League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Crown Ground
Accrington4 - 1Crewe
We said: Accrington Stanley 3-1 Crewe Alexandra
Given their current form, we cannot see Crewe leaving the Wham Stadium with anything on Saturday. John Coleman's side will be boosted by an impressive win on Tuesday, while their visitors arrive devoid of confidence and with defensive issues that can be exploited. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 50.6%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 24.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 50.6% | 24.64% | 24.77% |
| Both teams to score 52.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
