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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Wham Stadium
MK Dons

Accrington
2 - 0
MK Dons

Walton (24'), O'Brien-Whitmarsh (39')
Quirk (89'), Walton (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Patterson (59'), Lawrence (62'), Offord (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 2-1 Accrington
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Colchester
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-0 MK Dons

Without a head coach in place for Tuesday's match, MK Dons may be somewhat disorganised and could be vulnerable defensively. It is difficult to see Accrington winning comfortably at Crown Ground given their poor record at the stadium recently, but their home support could buoy them to victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawMK Dons
28.7% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 25.54% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 45.75% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Both teams to score 53.12% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.56% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)50.44% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.63% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)72.37% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.13% (0.015000000000001 0.02)31.88% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.68% (0.018000000000001 0.02)68.32% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.97% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)22.03% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.65% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)55.35% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 28.7%
    MK Dons 45.75%
    Draw 25.54%
Accrington StanleyDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 8.03% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.94% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.59% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.65% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.75% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 28.7%
1-1 @ 12.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.02% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.54%
0-1 @ 10.62%
1-2 @ 9.19% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.04% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.75% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.53% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 45.75%

How you voted: Accrington vs MK Dons

Accrington Stanley
75.0%
Draw
0.0%
MK Dons
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
MK Dons
2-1
Accrington
Gilbey (1'), Tomlinson (58')
Gilbey (35'), Tomlinson (72'), Lewington (73'), Offord (86')
Woods (67')
Whalley (43'), Coyle (52'), Batty (72'), Love (81'), Rawson (83'), Hunter (90+3')
Feb 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 32
MK Dons
2-1
Accrington
Payne (71'), Tomlinson (90+3')
Payne (77')
Nolan (11')
Gubbins (29'), Coleman (30'), Martin (34'), Conneely (58'), Woods (65'), O'Brien (79'), Nolan (90')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Accrington
1-0
MK Dons
Whalley (31')
Woods (41'), Whalley (61')

Harvie (56')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
MK Dons
1-1
Accrington
Robson (30')
Johnson (61'), Lawrence (70')
McConville (78' pen.)
Astley (10'), Clark (43'), Hamilton (60'), McConville (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4AFC Wimbledon35179946232360
5Notts County351610953371658
6Port Vale34151364335858
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town35175135151056
9Colchester UnitedColchester35121674032852
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City351311114337650
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham351210134650-446
15Chesterfield34129135243945
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport35127164556-1143
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3599173954-1536
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627


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