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Walsall
Morecambe
League Two | Gameweek 32
Feb 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Accrington Stanley

Morecambe
2 - 0
Accrington

Angol (54'), Garner (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Walton (43'), Love (60'), Henderson (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Morecambe and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 2-0 Morecambe
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 1-0 Accrington
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Morecambe 1-2 Accrington Stanley

Both teams have struggled recently, but the visitors have shown flashes of brilliance this season as exemplified by their victories over Colchester United, Grimsby Town and Crewe Alexandra in recent times. That said, the visitors are likely to edge this fixture and we predict a 2-1 for Doolan's team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawAccrington Stanley
44.5% (0.184 0.18) 25.68% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 29.82% (-0.161 -0.16)
Both teams to score 53.34% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.54% (0.024000000000001 0.02)50.46% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.61% (0.021000000000001 0.02)72.38% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.38% (0.095999999999989 0.1)22.62% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.76% (0.143 0.14)56.23% (-0.145 -0.15)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.93% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)31.07% (0.102 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.61% (-0.121 -0.12)67.38% (0.119 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 44.49%
    Accrington Stanley 29.82%
    Draw 25.67%
MorecambeDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 10.44% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.76% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.5% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.85% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.67% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.015 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 44.49%
1-1 @ 12.2% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.03% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 8.21% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.14% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.8% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.78% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.87% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 29.82%

Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 10
Accrington
2-1
Morecambe
Costelloe (36' pen., 45+1')
Rawson (51'), Costelloe (75'), O'Brien (90+5')
Tollitt (86')
Mar 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Accrington
1-2
Morecambe
Shipley (89')
Gubbins (60'), Leigh (72'), Shipley (89'), O'Brien (90+9')
Khumbeni (55'), Brown (62')
Khumbeni (47'), Tutonda (90+4')
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Morecambe
1-1
Accrington
Connolly (64')
Bloxham (61'), Senior (72'), Bedeau (87')
Leigh (70' pen.)
Andrews (61'), Coleman (62'), Hills (63'), Whalley (65')
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Morecambe
2-0
Accrington
Shaw (34'), Weir (43')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Accrington
3-1
Morecambe
Coyle (58'), Hamilton (82'), Leigh (85')
Astley (77' og.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4AFC Wimbledon35179946232360
5Notts County351610953371658
6Port Vale34151364335858
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town35175135151056
9Colchester UnitedColchester35121674032852
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City351311114337650
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham351210134650-446
15Chesterfield34129135243945
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport35127164556-1143
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3599173954-1536
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627


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