Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 56.48%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 21.96% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for MK Dons in this match.
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
56.48% ( -0.02) | 21.55% ( 0) | 21.96% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 59.61% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.3% ( -0.01) | 38.69% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39% ( -0.01) | 61% ( 0) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.4% ( -0.01) | 13.59% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.28% ( -0.02) | 40.71% ( 0.01) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.98% ( 0) | 31.01% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.67% ( 0.01) | 67.32% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
2-1 @ 9.83% 1-0 @ 8.41% 2-0 @ 8.39% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.54% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.58% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.83% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.26% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.79% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.91% 5-1 @ 1.3% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 3.53% Total : 56.48% | 1-1 @ 9.85% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.22% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.55% | 1-2 @ 5.77% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.93% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.89% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.25% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.75% Total : 21.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |