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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw has a probability of 21.5% and a win for Morecambe has a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Morecambe win it is 1-2 (5.6%).
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Morecambe |
57.38% ( -0.27) | 21.52% ( -0.09) | 21.1% ( 0.36) |
Both teams to score 58.41% ( 0.89) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.32% ( 0.91) | 39.68% ( -0.91) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.97% ( 0.94) | 62.03% ( -0.94) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.36% ( 0.22) | 13.64% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.18% ( 0.43) | 40.82% ( -0.42) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.64% ( 0.86) | 32.36% ( -0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.13% ( 0.96) | 68.87% ( -0.96) |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Morecambe |
2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.79% ( -0.3) 2-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 3.41% Total : 57.38% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.52% | 1-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.45% Total : 21.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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