League Two | Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Morecambe4 - 1AFC Wimbledon
Coverage of the League Two clash between Morecambe and AFC Wimbledon.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Morecambe 1-0 Tranmere
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-4 Accrington
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Morecambe | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
29.58% ( -0.12) | 26.61% ( -0.03) | 43.81% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 50.33% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.71% ( 0.08) | 54.29% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.32% ( 0.06) | 75.68% ( -0.06) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.77% ( -0.05) | 33.22% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.16% ( -0.05) | 69.84% ( 0.05) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.38% ( 0.11) | 24.62% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.87% ( 0.16) | 59.12% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Morecambe 29.58%
AFC Wimbledon 43.8%
Draw 26.61%
Morecambe | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
1-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 29.58% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 11.46% 1-2 @ 8.85% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.04% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.14% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 43.8% |
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 7
Morecambe
3-4
AFC Wimbledon
Jan 31, 2015 3pm
Form Guide