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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 28
Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
AFC Wimbledon

Wrexham
2 - 0
AFC Wimbledon

Fletcher (61'), Mullin (69')
Lee (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Currie (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Wrexham and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Wrexham 2-0 AFC Wimbledon

With Wimbledon missing some key players through injury, suspension and international call-ups, we are struggling to see beyond Wrexham extending their impressive winning streak at the Racecourse Ground. Parkinson's side are playing like a team primed for back-to-back promotions at present, and it would be little surprise to see them competing in League One next season given the quality of players at their disposal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Wrexham in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.

Result
WrexhamDrawAFC Wimbledon
46.9% (0.053000000000004 0.05) 23.34% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 29.75% (-0.061 -0.06)
Both teams to score 61.27% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.96% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)40.04% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.59% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)62.41% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.64% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)17.36% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.24% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)47.76% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.14% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)25.86% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.17% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)60.83% (0.119 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 46.9%
    AFC Wimbledon 29.75%
    Draw 23.34%
WrexhamDrawAFC Wimbledon
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.86% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.88% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.43% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.02% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.67% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.38%
4-0 @ 1.76% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 46.9%
1-1 @ 10.63% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.49% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.34%
1-2 @ 7.19% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.07% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.84% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 29.75%

How you voted: Wrexham vs AFC Wimbledon

Wrexham
92.9%
Draw
0.0%
AFC Wimbledon
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
AFC Wimbledon
1-1
Wrexham
Tilley (81' pen.)
Bugiel (40'), Jackson (41'), Lewis (48'), Pell (75')
Lee (22')
Boyle (56'), Lee (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Titans
31-12
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Lions
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Gillingham86111221019
2Walsall86021541118
3BarrowBarrow8512115616
4Notts County8431158715
5Port Vale84221311214
6AFC Wimbledon641194513
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster84131112-113
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe841389-113
9Chesterfield8332136712
10Fleetwood TownFleetwood7331107312
11Grimsby Town84041214-212
12Newport CountyNewport84041216-412
13Bradford CityBradford8323109111
14Harrogate TownHarrogate8314811-310
15Colchester UnitedColchester82331214-29
16Salford City723246-29
17Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
18Bromley82241012-28
19MK Dons8224710-38
20Cheltenham TownCheltenham8215913-47
21Swindon TownSwindon8134812-46
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle82061017-76
23Morecambe8035611-53
24Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83


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