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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Wrexham in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
46.9% (![]() | 23.34% (![]() | 29.75% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.27% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.96% (![]() | 40.04% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.59% (![]() | 62.41% (![]() |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.64% (![]() | 17.36% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.24% (![]() | 47.76% (![]() |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.14% (![]() | 25.86% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.17% (![]() | 60.83% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
2-1 @ 9.31% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.86% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.88% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.43% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.02% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.67% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.38% 4-0 @ 1.76% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.61% ( ![]() Other @ 3.99% Total : 46.9% | 1-1 @ 10.63% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.3% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.49% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.66% ( ![]() Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.34% | 1-2 @ 7.19% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.07% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.11% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.24% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.84% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.85% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.1% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 2.4% Total : 29.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 59 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 52 |
3 | Notts County | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 50 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 48 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 48 |
6 | Port Vale | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 48 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 47 |
8 | Salford City | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 45 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 42 |
10 | Chesterfield | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 39 |
11 | MK Dons | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 38 |
13 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 28 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 33 | 29 | 4 | 37 |
14 | Swindon TownSwindon | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 37 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 36 |
16 | Bromley | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 36 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 33 |
18 | Gillingham | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 32 |
19 | BarrowBarrow | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 31 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 30 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 29 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 46 | -25 | 26 |
23 | Morecambe | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 27 | 46 | -19 | 23 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 21 |
> League Two Full Table |