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Peterborough United
EFL Trophy | Quarter-Finals
Jan 30, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
AFC Wimbledon

Peterborough
3 - 1
AFC Wimbledon

Mothersille (2'), Mason-Clark (4'), Jade-Jones (90+5')
Knight (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)
McLean (89')
Ball (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Peterborough United and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Lincoln 0-0 Peterborough
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-1 Mansfield
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Peterborough United 2-0 AFC Wimbledon

 AFC Wimbledon are capable of picking up a positive result on Tuesday, but it is a huge ask against a talented Peterborough outfit. Ferguson's side are the favourites to progress to the semi-finals, and we are expecting them to triumph against their League Two opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 58.93%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 20.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.55%) and 1-0 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 1-2 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawAFC Wimbledon
58.93% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 20.75% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 20.31% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 59.9% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.85% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)37.15% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.64% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)59.35% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.63% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)12.37% (0.019 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.77% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)38.22% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.35% (0.010000000000005 0.01)31.64% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.94% (0.009999999999998 0.01)68.05% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 58.93%
    AFC Wimbledon 20.31%
    Draw 20.75%
Peterborough UnitedDrawAFC Wimbledon
2-1 @ 9.84%
2-0 @ 8.55% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 8.18% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 6.85% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 5.96% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.94% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 3.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 3.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 2.06% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
5-1 @ 1.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.3% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 58.93%
1-1 @ 9.41% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 20.75%
1-2 @ 5.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.5% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.59% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.08% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 20.31%

How you voted: Peterborough vs AFC Wimbledon

Peterborough United
62.5%
Draw
8.3%
AFC Wimbledon
29.2%
24
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 30
Peterborough
3-0
AFC Wimbledon
Szmodics (49', 52'), Clarke-Harris (90')

Dobson (42')
Dec 2, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 15
AFC Wimbledon
2-1
Peterborough
Longman (54'), Pigott (60')
Nightingale (62'), Woodyard (84')
Clarke-Harris (71')
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 28
AFC Wimbledon
1-0
Peterborough
Pigott (58')
Trott (78')

Szmodics (74'), Toney (85')
Sep 28, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 11
Peterborough
3-2
AFC Wimbledon
Maddison (29'), Eisa (41', 66')
Pinnock (52'), Wordsworth (78')
Appiah (23'), Delaney (33'), O'Neill (38'), Reilly (44'), Wordsworth (50')
Mar 12, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
AFC Wimbledon
1-0
Peterborough
Pigott (87' pen.)
Sibbick (76')

Maddison (74'), Lafferty (86'), Reed (93')
Bennett (85')
rhs 2.0
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