EFL Trophy | Quarter-Finals

Jan 30, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Weston Homes Stadium

Peterborough
3 - 1
AFC Wimbledon

Mothersille (2'), Mason-Clark (4'), Jade-Jones (90+5')
Knight (83')

FT(HT: 2-0)

McLean (89')
Ball (10')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Peterborough United and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Lincoln 0-0 Peterborough
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-1 Mansfield
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Peterborough United 2-0 AFC Wimbledon

AFC Wimbledon are capable of picking up a positive result on Tuesday, but it is a huge ask against a talented Peterborough outfit. Ferguson's side are the favourites to progress to the semi-finals, and we are expecting them to triumph against their League Two opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 58.93%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 20.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.55%) and 1-0 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 1-2 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough United	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
58.93% ( -0.04)	20.75% ( 0.01)	20.31% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 59.9% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.85% (

-0.02)

37.15% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.64% (

-0.03)

59.35% (

0.03)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.63% (

-0.02)

12.37% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.77% (

-0.04)

38.22% (

0.04)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.35% (

0.01)

31.64% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.94% (

0.01)

68.05% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Peterborough United 58.93%

AFC Wimbledon 20.31%

Draw 20.75%

Peterborough United	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
2-1 @ 9.84% 2-0 @ 8.55% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.18% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.85% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.96% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.94% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.58% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.11% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.06% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.5% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 4.07% Total : 58.93%	1-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.92% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.75%	1-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.59% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 20.31%