Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 51.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Barrow win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
Result | ||
Salford City | Draw | Barrow |
51.84% ( 0.18) | 24.76% ( 0.01) | 23.4% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 50.89% ( -0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.88% ( -0.22) | 51.12% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.03% ( -0.19) | 72.97% ( 0.19) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.3% ( -0.01) | 19.7% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.29% ( -0.02) | 51.7% ( 0.02) |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.37% ( -0.3) | 36.62% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.59% ( -0.3) | 73.41% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Salford City | Draw | Barrow |
1-0 @ 11.72% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.18% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 51.84% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.97% Total : 24.75% | 0-1 @ 7.25% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.79% Total : 23.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 52 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 42 |
3 | Salford City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Port Vale | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 41 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
6 | Notts County | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 38 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 37 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 34 |
12 | Bromley | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 25 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 25 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 25 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 24 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |