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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 51.55%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.25%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Notts County | Draw | Gillingham |
51.55% ( -0.17) | 22.02% ( 0.05) | 26.43% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 63.37% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.88% ( -0.16) | 36.12% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.77% ( -0.17) | 58.23% ( 0.17) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.73% ( -0.11) | 14.27% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.95% ( -0.22) | 42.04% ( 0.21) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.91% ( -0) | 26.08% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.86% ( -0.01) | 61.13% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Notts County | Draw | Gillingham |
2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.05% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.59% Total : 51.55% | 1-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.02% | 1-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.29% Total : 26.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gillingham | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Walsall | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 18 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 16 |
4 | Notts County | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Port Vale | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
10 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 12 |
12 | Newport CountyNewport | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 11 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Salford City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 9 |
18 | Bromley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
19 | MK Dons | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 6 |
23 | Morecambe | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
24 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
> League Two Full Table |