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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 48.9%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.63%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Notts County | Draw | Barrow |
48.9% ( -0.16) | 22.12% ( 0.06) | 28.98% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 65.24% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.4% ( -0.24) | 34.6% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.46% ( -0.27) | 56.54% ( 0.27) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.4% ( -0.14) | 14.59% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.32% ( -0.27) | 42.68% ( 0.27) |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.39% ( -0.06) | 23.61% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.31% ( -0.09) | 57.69% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Notts County | Draw | Barrow |
2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.46% Total : 48.9% | 1-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.12% | 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.2% 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 28.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |