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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 51.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 22.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barrow in this match.
Result | ||
Barrow | Draw | Newport County |
51.24% ( -0) | 26.15% ( 0) | 22.61% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 46.02% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.93% ( -0) | 57.07% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.05% ( -0) | 77.95% ( 0) |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.64% ( -0) | 22.36% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.14% ( -0.01) | 55.86% ( 0.01) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.28% ( -0) | 40.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.7% ( -0) | 77.3% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Barrow | Draw | Newport County |
1-0 @ 13.63% 2-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 9.18% 3-0 @ 5.1% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.58% 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.85% Total : 51.23% | 1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 9.11% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.12% Other @ 0.67% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 8.18% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.51% 0-2 @ 3.68% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.65% 2-3 @ 1.24% 0-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.26% Total : 22.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |