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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Barrow
League Two | Gameweek 8
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
Newport County

Barrow
1 - 0
Newport

Stockton (20')
Ray (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Payne (65'), Bright (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Barrow and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 0-0 Harrogate
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-2 Newport
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Barrow 1-1 Newport County

With Barrow left slightly frustrated by consecutive draws and Newport travelling with momentum in the playoff race, we anticipate an intriguing encounter on Saturday and cannot quite pick a winner, instead opting for a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 51.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 22.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barrow in this match.

Result
BarrowDrawNewport County
51.24% (-0.0019999999999953 -0) 26.15% (0.0010000000000012 0) 22.61% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 46.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.93% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)57.07% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.05% (-0.004999999999999 -0)77.95% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.64% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)22.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.14% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)55.86% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.28% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)40.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.7% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)77.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 51.23%
    Newport County 22.61%
    Draw 26.15%
BarrowDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 13.63%
2-0 @ 10.21%
2-1 @ 9.18%
3-0 @ 5.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.58%
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 1.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 51.23%
1-1 @ 12.25%
0-0 @ 9.11% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.12%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 8.18% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 5.51%
0-2 @ 3.68% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 1.65%
2-3 @ 1.24%
0-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 22.61%

How you voted: Barrow vs Newport

Barrow
48.6%
Draw
25.7%
Newport County
25.7%
35
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Newport
1-1
Barrow
McLoughlin (40')
Delaney (5'), Bennett (14'), Morris (20')
Delaney (43')
Campbell (69' pen.)
Canavan (28'), Gotts (73')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Barrow
0-1
Newport
Demetriou (90+5')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Newport
0-2
Barrow
Gordon (45', 59')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Newport
2-1
Barrow
Telford (2', 12')
Willmott (90+5')
Demetriou (63' og.)
Brough (41'), Banks (59'), Brown (75'), Hutton (81'), Driscoll-Glennon (90+5')
Sep 24, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Barrow
2-1
Newport
Kay (63'), Gordon (78')
Azaz (10')
Farquharson (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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