With Barrow left slightly frustrated by consecutive draws and Newport travelling with momentum in the playoff race, we anticipate an intriguing encounter on Saturday and cannot quite pick a winner, instead opting for a low-scoring draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 51.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 22.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barrow in this match.
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