League Two | Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
Newport5 - 3Morecambe
Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Morecambe.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Stockport 1-0 Newport
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 1-3 Wrexham
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | Morecambe |
43.72% ( -0.32) | 24.38% ( 0.03) | 31.89% ( 0.29) |
Both teams to score 58.74% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.13% ( -0.04) | 43.87% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.74% ( -0.04) | 66.25% ( 0.04) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.79% ( -0.16) | 20.2% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.48% ( -0.26) | 52.51% ( 0.25) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.61% ( 0.16) | 26.39% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.46% ( 0.21) | 61.54% ( -0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Newport County 43.72%
Morecambe 31.89%
Draw 24.37%
Newport County | Draw | Morecambe |
2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.91% Total : 43.72% | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.37% | 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.22% Total : 31.89% |
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
May 31, 2021 3pm
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 16
Newport
2-1
Morecambe
Form Guide