League Two

League Two | Gameweek 29

Jan 29, 2022 at 3pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
2 - 1
Barrow

Telford (2', 12')
Willmott (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Demetriou (63' og.)
Brough (41'), Banks (59'), Brown (75'), Hutton (81'), Driscoll-Glennon (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Newport County and Barrow, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Newport County 2-0 Barrow

Newport will be expected to win this clash comfortably at Rodney Parade on Saturday, particularly with them possessing home advantage. The hosts are on the up after their successive victories in recent weeks, whilst the visitors are lacking form and confidence as they make the trip to the promotion contenders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 56.08%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 19.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Barrow win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Barrow
56.08%	24%	19.92%

Both teams to score 48.57%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.13%

51.87%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.38%

73.62%

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.65%

18.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.54%

49.46%

Barrow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.48%

40.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.87%

77.13%

Score Analysis

Newport County 56.06%

Barrow 19.92%

Draw 23.99%

Newport County	Draw	Barrow
1-0 @ 12.6% 2-0 @ 10.68% 2-1 @ 9.66% 3-0 @ 6.04% 3-1 @ 5.46% 4-0 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 2.31% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.24% Total : 56.06%	1-1 @ 11.38% 0-0 @ 7.44% 2-2 @ 4.36% Other @ 0.82% Total : 23.99%	0-1 @ 6.72% 1-2 @ 5.14% 0-2 @ 3.03% 1-3 @ 1.55% 2-3 @ 1.31% 0-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.25% Total : 19.92%