Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 60.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for South Shields had a probability of 18.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a South Shields win it was 0-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.