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Championship header 2

League Two
Chesterfield
League Two | Gameweek 1
Aug 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Technique Stadium
Swindon Town

Chesterfield
1 - 1
Swindon

Dobra (15')
Cook (18')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wright (64')
King (17'), Cotterill (42'), Smith (55'), Wright (66'), Clarke (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Chesterfield and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions
Last Game: Scunthorpe 0-3 Chesterfield
Friday, August 2 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Swindon 1-0 Wycombe
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Chesterfield 1-1 Swindon Town

 Chesterfield will be full of confidence after their strong showing in the National League last season, but they could take some time to settle into their new division. Swindon's poor away record suggests that victory is unlikely, but with a new manager and many new signings, they could prove difficult to beat on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 37.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.39%) and 0-2 (5.29%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
ChesterfieldDrawSwindon Town
37.18% (-0.65300000000001 -0.65) 23.19% (-0.219 -0.22) 39.63% (0.87 0.87)
Both teams to score 64.56% (0.817 0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.15% (1.074 1.07)36.85% (-1.076 -1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.97% (1.156 1.16)59.02% (-1.158 -1.16)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.78% (0.16200000000001 0.16)20.21% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.46% (0.256 0.26)52.53% (-0.258 -0.26)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.92% (0.85900000000001 0.86)19.08% (-0.861 -0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.31% (1.405 1.41)50.68% (-1.406 -1.41)
Score Analysis
    Chesterfield 37.18%
    Swindon Town 39.63%
    Draw 23.19%
ChesterfieldDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 8.17% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-0 @ 6.17% (-0.298 -0.3)
2-0 @ 4.93% (-0.212 -0.21)
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.6% (0.06 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.63% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.74% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.05% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 37.18%
1-1 @ 10.21% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-2 @ 6.76% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 3.86% (-0.206 -0.21)
3-3 @ 1.99% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.19%
1-2 @ 8.46% (0.058 0.06)
0-1 @ 6.39% (-0.163 -0.16)
0-2 @ 5.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.67% (0.156 0.16)
2-3 @ 3.74% (0.143 0.14)
0-3 @ 2.92% (0.083 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.94% (0.114 0.11)
2-4 @ 1.55% (0.099 0.1)
0-4 @ 1.21% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 39.63%

How you voted: Chesterfield vs Swindon

Chesterfield
62.8%
Draw
4.7%
Swindon Town
32.6%
43
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Chesterfield
2-1
Swindon
O'Grady (2'), Kellett (51')
Reed (82'), Barry (90')
Robertson (75')
Norris (78')
Banks (72')
Nov 11, 2017 3pm
Swindon
2-2
Chesterfield
Elsnik (47'), Norris (90' pen.)
Woolery (36'), Dunne (45')
Dennis (56'), McCourt (72')
Reed (63'), Maguire (89'), Dennis (90'), Evatt (95')
Mar 4, 2017 3pm
Swindon
0-1
Chesterfield
Mitchell (93')
Hird (74'), Jones (84'), Evans (92')
Aug 13, 2016 3pm
Chesterfield
3-1
Swindon
Liddle (22'), O'Shea (45' pen.), Evans (64')
Furlong (88')
Kasim (45'), Ormonde-Ottewill (60'), Sendles-White (84')
Apr 23, 2016 3pm
Swindon
1-0
Chesterfield
Kasim (77')

Herd (34')
Raglan (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale159332316730
2Walsall1483327151227
3Notts County1576223131027
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster158342117427
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe147431713425
6MK Dons157352417724
7Grimsby Town158071925-624
8Gillingham157261612423
9Chesterfield1557328181022
10Bradford CityBradford156452016422
11BarrowBarrow156451612422
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
13Salford City155551417-320
14AFC Wimbledon126151810819
15Newport CountyNewport156181926-719
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham155371922-318
17Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
18Accrington StanleyAccrington144461822-416
19Bromley143651618-215
20Harrogate TownHarrogate154381221-915
21Colchester UnitedColchester142751721-413
22Swindon TownSwindon152671623-712
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1532101328-1511
24Morecambe152491426-1210
> League Two Full Table


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