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Championship header 2

League Two
Chesterfield
League Two | Gameweek 1
Aug 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Technique Stadium
Swindon Town

Chesterfield
1 - 1
Swindon

Dobra (15')
Cook (18')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wright (64')
King (17'), Cotterill (42'), Smith (55'), Wright (66'), Clarke (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Chesterfield and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions
Last Game: Scunthorpe 0-3 Chesterfield
Friday, August 2 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Swindon 1-0 Wycombe
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Chesterfield 1-1 Swindon Town

 Chesterfield will be full of confidence after their strong showing in the National League last season, but they could take some time to settle into their new division. Swindon's poor away record suggests that victory is unlikely, but with a new manager and many new signings, they could prove difficult to beat on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 37.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.39%) and 0-2 (5.29%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
ChesterfieldDrawSwindon Town
37.18% (-0.65300000000001 -0.65) 23.19% (-0.219 -0.22) 39.63% (0.87 0.87)
Both teams to score 64.56% (0.817 0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.15% (1.074 1.07)36.85% (-1.076 -1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.97% (1.156 1.16)59.02% (-1.158 -1.16)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.78% (0.16200000000001 0.16)20.21% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.46% (0.256 0.26)52.53% (-0.258 -0.26)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.92% (0.85900000000001 0.86)19.08% (-0.861 -0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.31% (1.405 1.41)50.68% (-1.406 -1.41)
Score Analysis
    Chesterfield 37.18%
    Swindon Town 39.63%
    Draw 23.19%
ChesterfieldDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 8.17% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-0 @ 6.17% (-0.298 -0.3)
2-0 @ 4.93% (-0.212 -0.21)
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.6% (0.06 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.63% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.74% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.05% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 37.18%
1-1 @ 10.21% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-2 @ 6.76% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 3.86% (-0.206 -0.21)
3-3 @ 1.99% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.19%
1-2 @ 8.46% (0.058 0.06)
0-1 @ 6.39% (-0.163 -0.16)
0-2 @ 5.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.67% (0.156 0.16)
2-3 @ 3.74% (0.143 0.14)
0-3 @ 2.92% (0.083 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.94% (0.114 0.11)
2-4 @ 1.55% (0.099 0.1)
0-4 @ 1.21% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 39.63%

How you voted: Chesterfield vs Swindon

Chesterfield
62.8%
Draw
4.7%
Swindon Town
32.6%
43
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Chesterfield
2-1
Swindon
O'Grady (2'), Kellett (51')
Reed (82'), Barry (90')
Robertson (75')
Norris (78')
Banks (72')
Nov 11, 2017 3pm
Swindon
2-2
Chesterfield
Elsnik (47'), Norris (90' pen.)
Woolery (36'), Dunne (45')
Dennis (56'), McCourt (72')
Reed (63'), Maguire (89'), Dennis (90'), Evatt (95')
Mar 4, 2017 3pm
Swindon
0-1
Chesterfield
Mitchell (93')
Hird (74'), Jones (84'), Evans (92')
Aug 13, 2016 3pm
Chesterfield
3-1
Swindon
Liddle (22'), O'Shea (45' pen.), Evans (64')
Furlong (88')
Kasim (45'), Ormonde-Ottewill (60'), Sendles-White (84')
Apr 23, 2016 3pm
Swindon
1-0
Chesterfield
Kasim (77')

Herd (34')
Raglan (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4AFC Wimbledon35179946232360
5Notts County351610953371658
6Port Vale34151364335858
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town35175135151056
9Colchester UnitedColchester35121674032852
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City351311114337650
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham351210134650-446
15Chesterfield34129135243945
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport35127164556-1143
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3599173954-1536
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627
> League Two Full Table


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