Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 48.96%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Walsall in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Walsall.
Result | ||
Walsall | Draw | Swindon Town |
48.96% ( -0.01) | 23.05% ( -0) | 27.99% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 61.03% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.2% ( 0.03) | 39.8% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.84% ( 0.03) | 62.16% ( -0.03) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.5% ( 0.01) | 16.5% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.77% ( 0.01) | 46.22% ( -0.01) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.08% ( 0.02) | 26.91% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.76% ( 0.03) | 62.24% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Walsall | Draw | Swindon Town |
2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.68% 3-0 @ 4.33% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.73% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.56% 4-0 @ 1.95% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 3.44% Total : 48.96% | 1-1 @ 10.5% 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.44% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( 0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.05% | 1-2 @ 6.89% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.83% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.82% 1-3 @ 3.02% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 27.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 19 |
2 | Gillingham | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 19 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 19 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 19 |
5 | Notts County | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
6 | Port Vale | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 18 |
7 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
9 | Newport CountyNewport | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 15 |
11 | Chesterfield | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 14 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
13 | MK Dons | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 12 |
14 | Bradford CityBradford | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 12 |
15 | Salford City | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 12 |
16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 11 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 11 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 11 |
19 | Bromley | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 8 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 7 |
23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 6 |
24 | Morecambe | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 4 |
> League Two Full Table |