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Championship header 2

League Two
Walsall
League Two | Gameweek 40
Apr 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Poundland Bescot Stadium
Swindon Town

Walsall
2 - 1
Swindon

Faal (11'), Johnson (89')
Stirk (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Glatzel (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Walsall and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Walsall

All competitions
Last Game: Walsall 1-3 Notts County
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Swindon 3-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Walsall 1-0 Swindon Town

 Walsall need points for playoffs but are shaky at home recently. Swindon are in good form but terrible away. The hosts' home record might hold, earning them a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 48.96%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Walsall in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Walsall.

Result
WalsallDrawSwindon Town
48.96% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 23.05% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 27.99% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 61.03% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.2% (0.026000000000003 0.03)39.8% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.84% (0.027000000000001 0.03)62.16% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.5% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)16.5% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.77% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)46.22% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.08% (0.021000000000001 0.02)26.91% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.76% (0.028999999999996 0.03)62.24% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Walsall 48.96%
    Swindon Town 27.99%
    Draw 23.05%
WalsallDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.68%
3-0 @ 4.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.56%
4-0 @ 1.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 48.96%
1-1 @ 10.5%
2-2 @ 6.21% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-0 @ 4.44% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.63% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.05%
1-2 @ 6.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 5.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.82%
1-3 @ 3.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.67% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 27.99%

How you voted: Walsall vs Swindon

Walsall
63.2%
Draw
5.3%
Swindon Town
31.6%
19
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Swindon
2-0
Walsall
Austin (2'), Hepburn-Murphy (88')
Khan (36'), Hutton (90+4')

Hutchinson (25'), Knowles (62'), Gordon (90+4')
Knowles (66')
Mar 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Walsall
0-0
Swindon
> Preview
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Swindon
1-2
Walsall
Iandolo (33')
Hutton (45+1' og.), Monthe (90+4')
> Preview
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Walsall
2-0
Swindon
Johnson (80' pen.), Abraham (81')

Adeloye (81'), Harries (85'), Darcy (90+5')
Minturn (78')
> Preview
May 7, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 46
Walsall
0-3
Swindon

Daniels (45+2'), Monthe (73')
McKirdy (3'), Payne (25', 45+3')
Williams (54'), Reed (70')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall31196659342563
2AFC Wimbledon30167743202355
3Bradford CityBradford31159740281254
4Notts County30158747291853
5Port Vale30141063932752
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster3115794539652
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe32121373631549
8Salford City3113993830848
9Grimsby Town31153134447-348
10Chesterfield301191049371242
11Bromley31101294140142
12Colchester UnitedColchester3091473530541
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham30118114043-341
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood301010103936340
15Newport CountyNewport31117134147-640
16MK Dons31116144444039
17Swindon TownSwindon32911124648-238
18BarrowBarrow31107143436-237
19Gillingham3097142633-734
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3296172642-1633
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3079143448-1430
22Tranmere RoversTranmere31610152249-2728
23Morecambe3175192948-1926
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3157192349-2622
> League Two Full Table


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