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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 44.61%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | Bradford City |
28.44% ( -0.95) | 26.95% ( -0.21) | 44.61% ( 1.16) |
Both teams to score 48.72% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.93% ( 0.35) | 56.06% ( -0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.86% ( 0.28) | 77.14% ( -0.28) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.96% ( -0.55) | 35.03% ( 0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.22% ( -0.58) | 71.78% ( 0.58) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.99% ( 0.74) | 25.01% ( -0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.33% ( 1.02) | 59.66% ( -1.02) |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | Bradford City |
1-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.11% Total : 28.44% | 1-1 @ 12.73% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.94% | 0-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.83% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 8.42% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 4.08% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.36% Total : 44.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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