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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
The County Ground
Crawley Town

Swindon
2 - 1
Crawley

Austin (41'), Cain (43')
Khan (24')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Telford (62' pen.)
Gladwin (42'), Nadesan (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Crewe 2-1 Swindon
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Crawley 0-0 Walsall
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 1-0 Crawley Town

 Swindon have been far too inconsistent to mount a push for the playoffs this season, but they should still have enough about them to beat 22nd-placed Crawley at the County Ground and sign off for the season on a positive note. The Red Devils have been very poor away from home all season, and with safety now a mathematical certainty, they have little to play for on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 52.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 22.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawCrawley Town
52.84% (-0.012 -0.01) 24.34% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 22.82% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.47% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.98% (0.044999999999995 0.04)50.01% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28% (0.039000000000001 0.04)71.99% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.12% (0.012 0.01)18.88% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.64% (0.019999999999996 0.02)50.36% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.45% (0.042000000000002 0.04)36.55% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.66% (0.042999999999999 0.04)73.34% (-0.044000000000011 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 52.83%
    Crawley Town 22.82%
    Draw 24.34%
Swindon TownDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 11.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.59% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 2.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 52.83%
1-1 @ 11.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.9% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.34%
0-1 @ 6.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 5.83% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.96% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 22.82%

Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 3pm
gameweek 20
Crawley
2-0
Swindon
Tsaroulla (79'), Powell (83')

Reed (32')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
gameweek 38
Crawley
3-1
Swindon
Appiah (29'), Nichols (72'), Hutchinson (90+1')
Francillette (59'), Marshall (84')
Davison (50')
Williams (56'), Odimayo (65')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 16
Swindon
1-1
Crawley
Gladwin (90+2')
Lyden (81'), McKirdy (83')
Powell (41' pen.)
Nichols (54'), Tsaroulla (65'), Powell (77')
Mar 21, 2020 3pm
gameweek 40
Swindon
P-P
Crawley
Oct 26, 2019 3pm
gameweek 16
Crawley
0-4
Swindon

Tunnicliffe (47'), Dallison (58'), Grego-Cox (69'), Allarakhia (81')
Doyle (5', 44', 61'), Yates (87')
Grant (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall28185554302459
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster29157742321052
3Notts County28148645281750
4AFC Wimbledon27146739201948
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe291212536251148
6Port Vale2813963529648
7Bradford CityBradford28138738281047
8Salford City2812883326744
9Grimsby Town29133134045-542
10Chesterfield28109943321139
11MK Dons28115124240238
12Cheltenham TownCheltenham28108103739-238
13Colchester UnitedColchester2881373329437
14Swindon TownSwindon30910114344-137
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood279993735236
16Bromley2881193637-135
17Gillingham2795132529-432
18BarrowBarrow2887132732-531
19Newport CountyNewport2786133546-1130
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3086162541-1630
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2778123445-1129
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2868142146-2526
23Morecambe2865172644-1823
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2856172246-2421
> League Two Full Table


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