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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
The County Ground
Crawley Town

Swindon
2 - 1
Crawley

Austin (41'), Cain (43')
Khan (24')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Telford (62' pen.)
Gladwin (42'), Nadesan (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Crewe 2-1 Swindon
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Crawley 0-0 Walsall
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 1-0 Crawley Town

 Swindon have been far too inconsistent to mount a push for the playoffs this season, but they should still have enough about them to beat 22nd-placed Crawley at the County Ground and sign off for the season on a positive note. The Red Devils have been very poor away from home all season, and with safety now a mathematical certainty, they have little to play for on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 52.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 22.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawCrawley Town
52.84% (-0.012 -0.01) 24.34% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 22.82% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.47% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.98% (0.044999999999995 0.04)50.01% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28% (0.039000000000001 0.04)71.99% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.12% (0.012 0.01)18.88% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.64% (0.019999999999996 0.02)50.36% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.45% (0.042000000000002 0.04)36.55% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.66% (0.042999999999999 0.04)73.34% (-0.044000000000011 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 52.83%
    Crawley Town 22.82%
    Draw 24.34%
Swindon TownDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 11.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.59% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 2.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 52.83%
1-1 @ 11.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.9% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.34%
0-1 @ 6.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 5.83% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.96% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 22.82%

Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 3pm
gameweek 20
Crawley
2-0
Swindon
Tsaroulla (79'), Powell (83')

Reed (32')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
gameweek 38
Crawley
3-1
Swindon
Appiah (29'), Nichols (72'), Hutchinson (90+1')
Francillette (59'), Marshall (84')
Davison (50')
Williams (56'), Odimayo (65')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 16
Swindon
1-1
Crawley
Gladwin (90+2')
Lyden (81'), McKirdy (83')
Powell (41' pen.)
Nichols (54'), Tsaroulla (65'), Powell (77')
Mar 21, 2020 3pm
gameweek 40
Swindon
P-P
Crawley
Oct 26, 2019 3pm
gameweek 16
Crawley
0-4
Swindon

Tunnicliffe (47'), Dallison (58'), Grego-Cox (69'), Allarakhia (81')
Doyle (5', 44', 61'), Yates (87')
Grant (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall31196659342563
2AFC Wimbledon30167743202355
3Bradford CityBradford31159740281254
4Notts County30158747291853
5Port Vale30141063932752
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster3115794539652
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe32121373631549
8Salford City3113993830848
9Grimsby Town31153134447-348
10Chesterfield301191049371242
11Bromley31101294140142
12Colchester UnitedColchester3091473530541
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham30118114043-341
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood301010103936340
15Newport CountyNewport31117134147-640
16MK Dons31116144444039
17Swindon TownSwindon32911124648-238
18BarrowBarrow31107143436-237
19Gillingham3097142633-734
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3296172642-1633
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3079143448-1430
22Tranmere RoversTranmere31610152249-2728
23Morecambe3175192948-1926
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3157192349-2622
> League Two Full Table


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