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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
The County Ground
Crawley Town

Swindon
2 - 1
Crawley

Austin (41'), Cain (43')
Khan (24')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Telford (62' pen.)
Gladwin (42'), Nadesan (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Crewe 2-1 Swindon
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Crawley 0-0 Walsall
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 1-0 Crawley Town

 Swindon have been far too inconsistent to mount a push for the playoffs this season, but they should still have enough about them to beat 22nd-placed Crawley at the County Ground and sign off for the season on a positive note. The Red Devils have been very poor away from home all season, and with safety now a mathematical certainty, they have little to play for on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 52.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 22.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawCrawley Town
52.84% (-0.012 -0.01) 24.34% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 22.82% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.47% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.98% (0.044999999999995 0.04)50.01% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28% (0.039000000000001 0.04)71.99% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.12% (0.012 0.01)18.88% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.64% (0.019999999999996 0.02)50.36% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.45% (0.042000000000002 0.04)36.55% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.66% (0.042999999999999 0.04)73.34% (-0.044000000000011 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 52.83%
    Crawley Town 22.82%
    Draw 24.34%
Swindon TownDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 11.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.59% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 2.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 52.83%
1-1 @ 11.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.9% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.34%
0-1 @ 6.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 5.83% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.96% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 22.82%

Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 3pm
gameweek 20
Crawley
2-0
Swindon
Tsaroulla (79'), Powell (83')

Reed (32')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
gameweek 38
Crawley
3-1
Swindon
Appiah (29'), Nichols (72'), Hutchinson (90+1')
Francillette (59'), Marshall (84')
Davison (50')
Williams (56'), Odimayo (65')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 16
Swindon
1-1
Crawley
Gladwin (90+2')
Lyden (81'), McKirdy (83')
Powell (41' pen.)
Nichols (54'), Tsaroulla (65'), Powell (77')
Mar 21, 2020 3pm
gameweek 40
Swindon
P-P
Crawley
Oct 26, 2019 3pm
gameweek 16
Crawley
0-4
Swindon

Tunnicliffe (47'), Dallison (58'), Grego-Cox (69'), Allarakhia (81')
Doyle (5', 44', 61'), Yates (87')
Grant (66')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


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