Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bradford 1-1 Leyton Orient
Monday, May 8 at 12.30pm in League Two
Monday, May 8 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 1-1 Carlisle
Monday, May 8 at 12.30pm in League Two
Monday, May 8 at 12.30pm in League Two
We said: Bradford City 1-1 Carlisle United
Carlisle have drawn a number of games against some of the better sides in the fourth tier recently, including Stockport County and Northampton Town, so it would not be a surprise if nothing separates the two sides. In truth, Simpson would probably take a draw in the first leg, as although Bradford's home form has not been sensational, it is likely to be a very tough place to go for a game of this magnitude, with the crowd in full voice. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bradford City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bradford City | Draw | Carlisle United |
39.74% ( 0.12) | 27.84% ( -0.09) | 32.43% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 47.83% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
