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Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 38
May 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Bradford City

Crewe
3 - 2
Bradford

Agyei (16', 43'), Long (90+11' pen.)
Williams (15'), Agyei (86'), Baker-Richardson (90+9')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Cook (46'), Walker (54')
Crichlow (8'), Banks (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Bradford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 2-1 Swindon
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Bradford
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 1-2 Bradford City

Crewe's home form has been excellent to close out the season, but they now come up against a side determined to make a late push for promotion. Bradford have been superb in 2023 and should seal at least a playoff place before the final day here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 49.17%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.93%) and 1-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawBradford City
23.8% (0.454 0.45) 27.03% (0.681 0.68) 49.17% (-1.135 -1.14)
Both teams to score 44.93% (-1.367 -1.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.86% (-2.011 -2.01)59.14% (2.011 2.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.42% (-1.579 -1.58)79.57% (1.579 1.58)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.26% (-0.707 -0.71)40.73% (0.706 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.68% (-0.642 -0.64)77.32% (0.64099999999999 0.64)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.82% (-1.384 -1.38)24.18% (1.384 1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.49% (-2.006 -2.01)58.51% (2.005 2.01)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 23.8%
    Bradford City 49.17%
    Draw 27.02%
Crewe AlexandraDrawBradford City
1-0 @ 8.85% (0.491 0.49)
2-1 @ 5.64% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.97% (0.148 0.15)
3-1 @ 1.69% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.2% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.19% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 23.8%
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 9.85% (0.725 0.73)
2-2 @ 4% (-0.178 -0.18)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 27.02%
0-1 @ 13.98% (0.49 0.49)
0-2 @ 9.93% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.91% (-0.218 -0.22)
0-3 @ 4.7% (-0.22 -0.22)
1-3 @ 4.22% (-0.283 -0.28)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.166 -0.17)
0-4 @ 1.67% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.5% (-0.167 -0.17)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 49.17%

How you voted: Crewe vs Bradford

Crewe Alexandra
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
Bradford City
50.0%
12
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
gameweek 6
Bradford
0-0
Crewe

Banks (30'), Halliday (65')
Apr 13, 2020 3pm
Aug 31, 2019 3pm
gameweek 6
Crewe
2-1
Bradford
Kirk (42'), Lowery (60')
Pickering (7'), Lowery (74'), Ng (77'), Dale (94')
Vaughan (32')
Mar 28, 2016 3pm
Nov 14, 2015 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513


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