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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 49.17%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.93%) and 1-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Bradford City |
23.8% ( 0.45) | 27.03% ( 0.68) | 49.17% ( -1.14) |
Both teams to score 44.93% ( -1.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.86% ( -2.01) | 59.14% ( 2.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.42% ( -1.58) | 79.57% ( 1.58) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.26% ( -0.71) | 40.73% ( 0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.68% ( -0.64) | 77.32% ( 0.64) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.82% ( -1.38) | 24.18% ( 1.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.49% ( -2.01) | 58.51% ( 2.01) |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Bradford City |
1-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.27% Total : 23.8% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.73) 2-2 @ 4% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.61% Total : 27.02% | 0-1 @ 13.98% ( 0.49) 0-2 @ 9.93% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.91% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 4.7% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 4.22% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.17) 0-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.38% Total : 49.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 27 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 58 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 49 |
3 | Notts County | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 47 |
4 | Bradford CityBradford | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 47 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 47 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 45 |
7 | Port Vale | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 45 |
8 | Salford City | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 43 |
9 | Chesterfield | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 39 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 28 | 12 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 39 |
11 | MK Dons | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 38 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 36 |
13 | Bromley | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 35 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 35 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
16 | Swindon TownSwindon | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 34 |
17 | Gillingham | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 32 |
18 | BarrowBarrow | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 31 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 29 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 29 |
21 | Newport CountyNewport | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 27 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 26 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 21 |
24 | Morecambe | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 20 |
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