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AFC Wimbledon
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Walsall
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 38
May 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Bradford City

Crewe
3 - 2
Bradford

Agyei (16', 43'), Long (90+11' pen.)
Williams (15'), Agyei (86'), Baker-Richardson (90+9')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Cook (46'), Walker (54')
Crichlow (8'), Banks (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Bradford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 2-1 Swindon
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Bradford
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 1-2 Bradford City

Crewe's home form has been excellent to close out the season, but they now come up against a side determined to make a late push for promotion. Bradford have been superb in 2023 and should seal at least a playoff place before the final day here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 49.17%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.93%) and 1-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawBradford City
23.8% (0.454 0.45) 27.03% (0.681 0.68) 49.17% (-1.135 -1.14)
Both teams to score 44.93% (-1.367 -1.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.86% (-2.011 -2.01)59.14% (2.011 2.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.42% (-1.579 -1.58)79.57% (1.579 1.58)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.26% (-0.707 -0.71)40.73% (0.706 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.68% (-0.642 -0.64)77.32% (0.64099999999999 0.64)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.82% (-1.384 -1.38)24.18% (1.384 1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.49% (-2.006 -2.01)58.51% (2.005 2.01)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 23.8%
    Bradford City 49.17%
    Draw 27.02%
Crewe AlexandraDrawBradford City
1-0 @ 8.85% (0.491 0.49)
2-1 @ 5.64% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.97% (0.148 0.15)
3-1 @ 1.69% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.2% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.19% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 23.8%
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 9.85% (0.725 0.73)
2-2 @ 4% (-0.178 -0.18)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 27.02%
0-1 @ 13.98% (0.49 0.49)
0-2 @ 9.93% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.91% (-0.218 -0.22)
0-3 @ 4.7% (-0.22 -0.22)
1-3 @ 4.22% (-0.283 -0.28)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.166 -0.17)
0-4 @ 1.67% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.5% (-0.167 -0.17)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 49.17%

How you voted: Crewe vs Bradford

Crewe Alexandra
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
Bradford City
50.0%
12
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
gameweek 6
Bradford
0-0
Crewe

Banks (30'), Halliday (65')
Apr 13, 2020 3pm
Aug 31, 2019 3pm
gameweek 6
Crewe
2-1
Bradford
Kirk (42'), Lowery (60')
Pickering (7'), Lowery (74'), Ng (77'), Dale (94')
Vaughan (32')
Mar 28, 2016 3pm
Nov 14, 2015 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2814774031949
3Notts County27138643271647
4Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2787122731-431
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020


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