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Championship header 2

League Two
Doncaster Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Keepmoat Stadium
Carlisle United

Doncaster
2 - 1
Carlisle

Maxwell (5'), Hurst (67')
Seaman (12')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dennis (87')
Harris (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League Two clash between Doncaster Rovers and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Doncaster Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Doncaster 4-3 Rochdale
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

Carlisle United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Crewe 0-3 Carlisle
Thursday, December 29 at 7pm in League Two

We said: Doncaster Rovers 0-2 Carlisle United

 Doncaster have been showing inconsistent signs all season, and that is why we do not expect them to follow up their midweek victory with another three points on Sunday. Not only that, but Carlisle have emerged as one of League Two's better teams this season, particularly away from home, and they are very capable of recording a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Doncaster RoversDrawCarlisle United
32.07%26.98% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 40.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 50.27% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.14% (0.0039999999999978 0)54.86% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)76.16%
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.26% (0.0040000000000049 0)31.74% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.83% (0.0019999999999989 0)68.17%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.65% (0.0049999999999955 0)26.35% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.51% (0.0040000000000049 0)61.49% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Doncaster Rovers 32.07%
    Carlisle United 40.95%
    Draw 26.98%
Doncaster RoversDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 9.6% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 7.35%
2-0 @ 5.51%
3-1 @ 2.81%
3-0 @ 2.11%
3-2 @ 1.87%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 32.07%
1-1 @ 12.8%
0-0 @ 8.36% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-2 @ 4.9%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.98%
0-1 @ 11.15%
1-2 @ 8.54% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 7.44%
1-3 @ 3.8%
0-3 @ 3.31%
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.27% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 40.95%

How you voted: Doncaster vs Carlisle

Doncaster Rovers
37.5%
Draw
12.5%
Carlisle United
50.0%
16
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Carlisle
3-0
Doncaster
Guy (44'), Stretton (53', 66')

Clayton (26')
Nov 29, 2020 1.30pm
Second Round
Carlisle
1-2
Doncaster
Mellish (78')
Kayode (43')
Whiteman (32', 40')
Feb 14, 2017 7.45pm
Carlisle
2-1
Doncaster
Adams (34'), Mason (85' og.)
Joyce (18'), Gillesphey (55')
Rowe (90')
Blair (56'), Lawlor (82')
Sep 27, 2016 7.45pm
Doncaster
2-2
Carlisle
Rowe (18'), Marquis (44')
Marquis (93')
Miller (15'), Ibehre (79')
Grainger (49')
Apr 9, 2013 7.45pm
Doncaster
0-2
Carlisle

Furman (37'), Spurr (72'), Griffin (78')
Noble (35', 86')
Noble (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714
> League Two Full Table


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