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Championship header 2

League Two
Salford City
League Two | Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Peninsula Stadium
Carlisle United

Salford City
1 - 4
Carlisle

Smith (52')
Nartey (45+2'), Leak (65'), Hendry (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dennis (3', 80'), Guy (67'), Whelan (72')
Guy (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Salford City and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salford City

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Salford City 0-3 Peterborough
Wednesday, November 16 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Carlisle United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 0-0 Walsall
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Salford City 0-2 Carlisle United

 Salford have endured a torrid time in front of goal in recent weeks and we expect Carlisle to take full advantage of that on Saturday. We think the Cumbrians will be too strong for the Ammies, and Salford's goal drought will continue. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Salford CityDrawCarlisle United
41.93% (0.023000000000003 0.02) 26.28% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 31.79% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.37% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.86% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)52.14% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.14% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)73.86% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.4% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)24.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.9% (0.010000000000005 0.01)59.11% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.45% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)30.55% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.23% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)66.77% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 41.92%
    Carlisle United 31.79%
    Draw 26.27%
Salford CityDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.53%
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.43%
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 41.92%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 7.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 8.91% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 7.41% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 5.29% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 2.93% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 31.79%

How you voted: Salford City vs Carlisle

Salford City
27.8%
Draw
33.3%
Carlisle United
38.9%
18
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Salford City
2-1
Carlisle
Watson (52' pen.), Smith (71')
Patrick (67')
Feeney (62'), Riley (82')
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Carlisle
2-1
Salford City
Dickenson (8'), Mellish (60')
Abrahams (29'), Clough (37'), Guy (84')
Morris (44')
Turnbull (39'), Lowe (70')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Salford City
1-1
Carlisle
Wilson (79')
Touray (17'), Turnbull (58')
Tanner (11')
Bennett (45+1'), Mellish (55')
Dec 2, 2020 7pm
Carlisle
2-1
Salford City
Alessandra (33'), Bennett (55')
Guy (2'), Mellish (36'), Kayode (45'), Tanner (66')
Dieseruvwe (90')
Touray (64'), Bernard (88')
Apr 10, 2020 3pm
Salford City
P-P
Carlisle
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714
> League Two Full Table


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