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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Bradford City

Carlisle
1 - 0
Bradford

FT(HT: 1-0)

Chapman (58'), Wright (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Bradford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Carlisle United 1-1 Bradford City

Carlisle United and Bradford City have suffered a drop-off in form in recent weeks and will head into Monday's game in search of a pick-me-up. Both sides are currently evenly-matched on paper and we predict that they will take a cautious approach to the game and settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Carlisle United in this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawBradford City
40.18% (-0.012 -0.01) 27.81% (0.0030000000000001 0) 32.01% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.78% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.99% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)58.01% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.31% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)78.7% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.75% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)28.25% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.04% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)63.97% (0.012 0.01)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.6% (0.007000000000005 0.01)33.41% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.97% (0.004999999999999 0)70.03% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 40.17%
    Bradford City 32%
    Draw 27.81%
Carlisle UnitedDrawBradford City
1-0 @ 11.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.27% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.54% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.1%
4-0 @ 1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 40.17%
1-1 @ 13.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.44% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.53%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.81%
0-1 @ 10.34%
1-2 @ 7.17% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.67% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.62% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 32%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Bradford

Carlisle United
45.5%
Draw
9.1%
Bradford City
45.5%
11
Head to Head
May 7, 2022 3pm
Bradford
2-0
Carlisle
Angol (13'), Walker (69')
Cooke (79')

Whelan (56'), Armer (67'), Dickenson (80'), Omotoye (86')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Carlisle
2-0
Bradford
Gibson (45'), Patrick (87')

Songo'o (64'), Angol (90+1'), Watt (90+4')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Carlisle
3-1
Bradford
Bennett (37'), Zanzala (39', 56')
Zanzala (74'), Farman (79'), Alessandra (80'), Patrick (90')
O'Connor (64')
Watt (34'), Sutton (69'), O'Connor (73'), Rowe (90+5')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall21144339192046
2Port Vale2210752721637
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2210663126536
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe219842518735
5AFC Wimbledon21104732181434
6Chesterfield2297636251134
7Notts County219753021934
8Grimsby Town22111103034-434
9Salford City219662519633
10Bradford CityBradford218762623331
11MK Dons209383328530
12Bromley217953025530
13Gillingham219392220230
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham228683131030
15Colchester UnitedColchester2151152522326
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood206862625126
17BarrowBarrow217592021-126
18Newport CountyNewport217592936-726
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2263131834-1621
21Swindon TownSwindon2248102736-920
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Morecambe2245132038-1817
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2136121533-1815


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