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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Carlisle United in this match.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Bradford City |
40.18% ( -0.01) | 27.81% ( 0) | 32.01% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 47.78% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.99% ( -0) | 58.01% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.31% ( -0) | 78.7% ( 0) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.75% ( -0.01) | 28.25% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.04% ( -0.01) | 63.97% ( 0.01) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.6% ( 0.01) | 33.41% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.97% ( 0) | 70.03% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Bradford City |
1-0 @ 11.92% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.54% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.18% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.1% 4-0 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 1.78% Total : 40.17% | 1-1 @ 13.08% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.44% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.81% | 0-1 @ 10.34% 1-2 @ 7.17% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.67% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.46% Total : 32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 46 |
2 | Port Vale | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 35 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 34 |
6 | Chesterfield | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 34 |
7 | Notts County | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 34 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 22 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 34 |
9 | Salford City | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 33 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 31 |
11 | MK Dons | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 30 |
12 | Bromley | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 30 |
13 | Gillingham | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 30 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 30 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 21 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 26 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 26 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 26 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 26 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 20 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Morecambe | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 17 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 33 | -18 | 15 |
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