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Championship header 2

League Two
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Carlisle United

Crewe
0 - 3
Carlisle


Mellor (49')
Offord (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Feeney (6'), Moxon (46'), Dennis (72')
Feeney (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Crewe
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Carlisle United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 1-0 Bradford
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 0-1 Carlisle United

 Carlisle will be bidding to make it back-to-back victories on Thursday, and we are backing the visitors to triumph here. Crewe have lost their last three during a disappointing run, and we are predicting a narrow defeat for the home side in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawCarlisle United
31.38% (0.029 0.03) 26.05% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06) 42.56% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 52.91% (0.192 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.63% (0.246 0.25)51.36% (-0.25 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.81% (0.213 0.21)73.18% (-0.217 -0.22)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.56% (0.142 0.14)30.43% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.36% (0.17 0.17)66.64% (-0.173 -0.17)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.05% (0.11800000000001 0.12)23.94% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.83% (0.172 0.17)58.17% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 31.38%
    Carlisle United 42.55%
    Draw 26.05%
Crewe AlexandraDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 8.67% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.37% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.16% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.92% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 31.38%
1-1 @ 12.39% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.29% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.05%
0-1 @ 10.41% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-2 @ 8.86% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.45% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.22% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.51% (0.013 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.27% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 42.55%

How you voted: Crewe vs Carlisle

Crewe Alexandra
38.9%
Draw
0.0%
Carlisle United
61.1%
18
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Carlisle
0-0
Crewe

Agyei (30')
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Crewe
4-1
Carlisle
Ainley (17'), Powell (26', 31'), Anene (34')
Dale (72')
Iredale (56')
Sagaf (24'), Loft (30')
Oct 12, 2019 3pm
Carlisle
2-4
Crewe
Hope (59'), Elliott (64')
Hunt (7'), Powell (27'), Porter (78'), Gethin (85' og.)
Nolan (86')
Feb 12, 2019 7.45pm
Crewe
2-1
Carlisle
Porter (3'), Miller (73')
Ng (31'), Ray (44')
Miller (29')
O'Hare (34'), Hope (65'), Grainger (72'), Cullen (92')
Devitt (18')
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
First Round
Crewe
0-1
Carlisle

Nolan (29'), Hunt (61')
Devitt (90')
Bennett (18'), Devitt (83'), Yates (84'), Gerrard (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714
> League Two Full Table


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