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Doncaster Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Keepmoat Stadium
Rochdale

Doncaster
4 - 3
Rochdale

Seaman (6'), Close (9'), Biggins (37'), Anderson (81')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Rodney (14'), Williams (16' og.), Sinclair (77')
Ebanks-Landell (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Doncaster Rovers and Rochdale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Doncaster Rovers 2-1 Rochdale

Rochdale are a team in the need of points right now considering the fact they are in the relegation zone, and with Doncaster's current poor form this could be an ideal game. However, with Rovers having the home advantage, this could end up being another difficult fixture for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 2-1 (8.29%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.

Result
Doncaster RoversDrawRochdale
42.63% (0.248 0.25) 28.42% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 28.95% (-0.268 -0.27)
Both teams to score 44.9% (-0.18 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.96% (-0.16 -0.16)61.04% (0.158 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.97% (-0.121 -0.12)81.02% (0.12 0.12)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.65% (0.057000000000002 0.06)28.35% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.91% (0.074999999999996 0.07)64.08% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.67% (-0.302 -0.3)37.33% (0.3 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.89% (-0.297 -0.3)74.11% (0.295 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Doncaster Rovers 42.62%
    Rochdale 28.94%
    Draw 28.41%
Doncaster RoversDrawRochdale
1-0 @ 13.33% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 8.41% (0.077 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.29% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.53% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.48% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 42.62%
1-1 @ 13.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.58% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.41%
0-1 @ 10.42% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.48% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.14% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.69% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 28.94%

How you voted: Doncaster vs Rochdale

Doncaster Rovers
76.9%
Draw
15.4%
Rochdale
7.7%
13
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
May 1, 2021 3pm
Rochdale
1-2
Doncaster
Done (83')
Rathbone (54'), Keohane (90+3')
Richards (30', 56')
Jan 19, 2021 7pm
Feb 8, 2020 3pm
Aug 10, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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