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Championship header 2

League Two
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 at 1pm UK
Brunton Park
Sutton United

Carlisle
1 - 1
Sutton

Edmondson (30')
Guy (45+3'), Whelan (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Randall (45')
Eastmond (71'), Hart (90+3'), Kizzi (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Walsall 2-1 Carlisle
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup

Sutton United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Sutton
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Carlisle United 2-1 Sutton United

 Despite Carlisle heading into this fixture 10 points clear of their opponents, we expect a closely-fought affair in Cumbria on Saturday. However, Simpson is building something special during his second spell there, and his side should just edge past Sutton. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawSutton United
43.86% (0.156 0.16) 27.41% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07) 28.73% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 47.55% (0.139 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.36% (0.20200000000001 0.2)57.64% (-0.202 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.59% (0.16 0.16)78.4% (-0.16 -0.16)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.9% (0.173 0.17)26.1% (-0.174 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.84% (0.232 0.23)61.16% (-0.231 -0.23)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.34% (0.039000000000001 0.04)35.65% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.57% (0.039000000000001 0.04)72.42% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 43.86%
    Sutton United 28.73%
    Draw 27.41%
Carlisle UnitedDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 12.5% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.66% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.4% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.88% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.76% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.3% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 43.86%
1-1 @ 12.89% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.31% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.46% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.41%
0-1 @ 9.6% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.65% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.95% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.54% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 28.73%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Sutton

Carlisle United
100%
Draw
0.0%
Sutton United
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Carlisle
0-2
Sutton

Omotoye (52')
Olaofe (23'), Ajiboye (31')
Milsom (55'), Olaofe (67')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Sutton
4-0
Carlisle
Whelan (4' og.), Smith (37', 70'), Ajiboye (81')
Goodliffe (57')

Mampala (56'), Dickenson (56')
Mampala (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714
> League Two Full Table


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