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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Gillingham

Swindon
1 - 1
Gillingham

Smith (90+4')
Clarke (45+6')
Hall (9')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dieng (16')
Bonner (10'), Williams (61'), Hawkins (82')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Gillingham.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salford City 2-1 Swindon
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 0-2 Newport
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawGillingham
42.54% (0.052 0.05) 25.11% (0.014000000000003 0.01) 32.35% (-0.061 -0.06)
Both teams to score 56.42% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.02% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)46.98% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.78% (-0.07 -0.07)69.22% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)22.05% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.61% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)55.39% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.38% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)27.62% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.85% (-0.1 -0.1)63.15% (0.103 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 42.54%
    Gillingham 32.35%
    Draw 25.1%
Swindon TownDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 9.21% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.96% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.96% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.51% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.51% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.71%
4-0 @ 1.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 42.54%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.09% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.1%
0-1 @ 7.84% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.04% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 32.35%

Head to Head
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Gillingham
2-2
Swindon
Hawkins (68'), Mahoney (79' pen.)
Dieng (52'), S (53')
McGurk (24'), McKirdy (90+4')
Blake-Tracy (78'), McEachran (83')
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Swindon
0-1
Gillingham
Mahoney (22')
Clarke (68'), Alexander (79')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Swindon
3-3
Gillingham
Williams (1'), Austin (57' pen., 78')
Dieng (3'), Wright (9' pen.), Nichols (13')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 7
Gillingham
0-0
Swindon
Mnoga (6')
Mnoga (10')
Williams (55')
Mar 13, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 36
Swindon
1-3
Gillingham
Pitman (41')
Twine (76')
Oliver (59', 63'), Dempsey (68')
Ogilvie (47'), O'Keefe (76')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513


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