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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
CNG Stadium
Grimsby Town

Harrogate
3 - 2
Grimsby Town

Armstrong (12', 76'), Crocombe (90+1' og.)
Burrell (31'), Ramsay (42')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Khan (29'), Clifton (49')
Green (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Harrogate Town 1-1 Grimsby Town

With just one clean sheet from the last five matches apiece for either team heading into the clash, we expect goals at both ends here. That said, we can also see the sides cancelling each other out over the course of the 90 minutes and settling for a point in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawGrimsby Town
30.48% (-0.147 -0.15) 26.02% (-0.073 -0.07) 43.5% (0.218 0.22)
Both teams to score 52.62% (0.157 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.45% (0.238 0.24)51.55% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.65% (0.205 0.2)73.34% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.84% (0.016000000000005 0.02)31.16% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.51% (0.021000000000001 0.02)67.49% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.44% (0.209 0.21)23.56% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.38% (0.302 0.3)57.62% (-0.306 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 30.48%
    Grimsby Town 43.5%
    Draw 26.01%
Harrogate TownDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 8.56% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
2-1 @ 7.22% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.99% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.81% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.94% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 30.48%
1-1 @ 12.37% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.34% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 10.61% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.94% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.67% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.31% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.7% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.025 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.56% (0.025 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.34% (0.021 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 43.5%

Head to Head
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
Grimsby Town
1-2
Harrogate
Tilley (26')
Pollock (45'), Hendrie (48'), Preston (56'), Tilley (61'), Clifton (70')
Muldoon (25', 43')
Thomson (42'), Kerry (73')
Sep 8, 2020 7.45pm
Grimsby Town
2-2
Harrogate
Grimsby Town win 5-4 on penalties
Gibson (36' pen.), L (74')
Ohman (74'), Taylor (80')
Khouri (90')
Kiernan (81'), Lokko (86')
Lokko (33'), Smith (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4Notts County361710955371861
5AFC Wimbledon361791047252260
6Port Vale35151374437758
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town36175145153-256
9Colchester UnitedColchester36131674233955
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City361311124341250
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham361310134851-349
14Chesterfield351391356431348
15Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport36127174561-1643
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington36109174454-1039
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627


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