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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | Salford City |
35.19% ( 0.19) | 26.96% ( 0.02) | 37.85% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 51% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.76% ( -0.05) | 54.24% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.36% ( -0.04) | 75.64% ( 0.04) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.62% ( 0.09) | 29.37% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.64% ( 0.12) | 65.36% ( -0.12) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.21% ( -0.14) | 27.78% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.63% ( -0.18) | 63.37% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | Salford City |
1-0 @ 10% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 35.19% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.95% | 0-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.2% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 37.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gillingham | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Walsall | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 18 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 16 |
4 | Notts County | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Port Vale | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
10 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 12 |
12 | Newport CountyNewport | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 11 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Salford City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 9 |
18 | Bromley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
19 | MK Dons | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 6 |
23 | Morecambe | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
24 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
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