Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
We said: Grimsby Town 2-1 Burton Albion
With Burton unlikely to take this match too seriously considering their relegation fears, we can envisage Grimsby recording a victory to reach the fourth round of the FA Cup for the first time in 23 years. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Grimsby Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Grimsby Town.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Burton Albion |
39.62% ( -0.04) | 25.35% ( 0.01) | 35.03% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 56.33% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
