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Championship header 2

League Two
Stevenage
League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Gillingham

Stevenage
1 - 0
Gillingham

Piergianni (23')
Sweeney (34'), Gilbey (64'), Rose (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wright (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Stevenage and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Stevenage 3-1 Crawley
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in League Two

Gillingham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Sutton 2-1 Gillingham
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Stevenage 3-1 Gillingham

 Given the sides' respective forms heading into this one, Gillingham will fancy themselves to come away with all three points with relative ease. We fancy the hosts to get the job done and kick off 2023 on a winning note. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 67.16%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 11.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.47%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stevenage in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stevenage.

Result
StevenageDrawGillingham
67.16% (0.206 0.21) 21.18% (-0.115 -0.11) 11.66% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 39.08% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.19% (0.228 0.23)54.81% (-0.227 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.89% (0.188 0.19)76.11% (-0.188 -0.19)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.47% (0.145 0.14)15.53% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.54% (0.26799999999999 0.27)44.46% (-0.266 -0.27)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.27% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)53.73% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.89% (-0.013 -0.01)87.11% (0.01400000000001 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 67.16%
    Gillingham 11.66%
    Draw 21.18%
StevenageDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 15.54% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 14.47% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.99% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-0 @ 8.98% (0.054 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.58% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 4.18% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.6% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.73% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.56% (0.025 0.03)
5-1 @ 0.97% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 67.16%
1-1 @ 9.65% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.35% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-2 @ 2.79%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 21.18%
0-1 @ 5.18% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 3% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.61% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 11.66%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Gillingham

Stevenage
85.0%
Draw
5.0%
Gillingham
10.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gillingham
1-1
Stevenage
Baggott (40')
Rose (28')
Rose (39')
Sep 2, 2014 7.45pm
First Round
Stevenage
0-1
Gillingham

Day (17'), Henry (19')
Norris (17' pen.)
Dack (93')
Hoyte (64')
Feb 4, 2014 7.45pm
Stevenage
3-1
Gillingham
Zoko (22' pen.), Charles (30', 59')
Jones (49'), Charles (87')
McDonald (56')
Gregory (70'), Smith (79')
Hewitt (21')
> Match Report
Nov 26, 2013 7.45pm
Gillingham
3-2
Stevenage
Kedwell (47' pen.), Daniels (52'), Mousinho (76')
Heslop (37'), Zoko (60')
Hartley (84')
Feb 1, 2011 3pm
Stevenage
2-2
Gillingham

Beardsley (18'), Foster (90')
Akinfenwa (50'), McDonald (45')
Gowling (27'), Maher (45'), Lawrence (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall31196659342563
2AFC Wimbledon30167743202355
3Bradford CityBradford31159740281254
4Notts County30158747291853
5Port Vale30141063932752
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster3115794539652
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe32121373631549
8Salford City3113993830848
9Grimsby Town31153134447-348
10Chesterfield301191049371242
11Bromley31101294140142
12Colchester UnitedColchester3091473530541
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham30118114043-341
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood301010103936340
15Newport CountyNewport31117134147-640
16MK Dons31116144444039
17Swindon TownSwindon32911124648-238
18BarrowBarrow31107143436-237
19Gillingham3097142633-734
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3296172642-1633
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3079143448-1430
22Tranmere RoversTranmere31610152249-2728
23Morecambe3175192948-1926
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3157192349-2622
> League Two Full Table


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