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Championship header 2

League Two
Stevenage
League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Gillingham

Stevenage
1 - 0
Gillingham

Piergianni (23')
Sweeney (34'), Gilbey (64'), Rose (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wright (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Stevenage and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Stevenage 3-1 Crawley
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in League Two

Gillingham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Sutton 2-1 Gillingham
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Stevenage 3-1 Gillingham

 Given the sides' respective forms heading into this one, Gillingham will fancy themselves to come away with all three points with relative ease. We fancy the hosts to get the job done and kick off 2023 on a winning note. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 67.16%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 11.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.47%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stevenage in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stevenage.

Result
StevenageDrawGillingham
67.16% (0.206 0.21) 21.18% (-0.115 -0.11) 11.66% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 39.08% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.19% (0.228 0.23)54.81% (-0.227 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.89% (0.188 0.19)76.11% (-0.188 -0.19)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.47% (0.145 0.14)15.53% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.54% (0.26799999999999 0.27)44.46% (-0.266 -0.27)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.27% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)53.73% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.89% (-0.013 -0.01)87.11% (0.01400000000001 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 67.16%
    Gillingham 11.66%
    Draw 21.18%
StevenageDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 15.54% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 14.47% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.99% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-0 @ 8.98% (0.054 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.58% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 4.18% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.6% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.73% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.56% (0.025 0.03)
5-1 @ 0.97% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 67.16%
1-1 @ 9.65% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.35% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-2 @ 2.79%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 21.18%
0-1 @ 5.18% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 3% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.61% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 11.66%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Gillingham

Stevenage
85.0%
Draw
5.0%
Gillingham
10.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gillingham
1-1
Stevenage
Baggott (40')
Rose (28')
Rose (39')
Sep 2, 2014 7.45pm
First Round
Stevenage
0-1
Gillingham

Day (17'), Henry (19')
Norris (17' pen.)
Dack (93')
Hoyte (64')
Feb 4, 2014 7.45pm
Stevenage
3-1
Gillingham
Zoko (22' pen.), Charles (30', 59')
Jones (49'), Charles (87')
McDonald (56')
Gregory (70'), Smith (79')
Hewitt (21')
> Match Report
Nov 26, 2013 7.45pm
Gillingham
3-2
Stevenage
Kedwell (47' pen.), Daniels (52'), Mousinho (76')
Heslop (37'), Zoko (60')
Hartley (84')
Feb 1, 2011 3pm
Stevenage
2-2
Gillingham

Beardsley (18'), Foster (90')
Akinfenwa (50'), McDonald (45')
Gowling (27'), Maher (45'), Lawrence (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall28185554302459
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster29157742321052
3Notts County28148645281750
4AFC Wimbledon27146739201948
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe291212536251148
6Port Vale2813963529648
7Bradford CityBradford28138738281047
8Salford City2812883326744
9Grimsby Town29133134045-542
10Chesterfield28109943321139
11MK Dons28115124240238
12Cheltenham TownCheltenham28108103739-238
13Colchester UnitedColchester2881373329437
14Swindon TownSwindon30910114344-137
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood279993735236
16Bromley2881193637-135
17Gillingham2795132529-432
18BarrowBarrow2887132732-531
19Newport CountyNewport2786133546-1130
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3086162541-1630
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2778123445-1129
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2868142146-2526
23Morecambe2865172644-1823
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2856172246-2421
> League Two Full Table


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