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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
46.83% ( 2.14) | 25.09% ( -0.56) | 28.09% ( -1.58) |
Both teams to score 54.16% ( 0.77) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.12% ( 1.48) | 48.88% ( -1.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.03% ( 1.32) | 70.97% ( -1.32) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.1% ( 1.58) | 20.9% ( -1.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.38% ( 2.42) | 53.62% ( -2.41) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.48% ( -0.4) | 31.52% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.09% ( -0.46) | 67.91% ( 0.47) |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
1-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.34) 3-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.34) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.21) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.2) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.59% Total : 46.83% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.56) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.38) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.81% Total : 28.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gillingham | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Walsall | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 18 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 16 |
4 | Notts County | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Port Vale | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
10 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 12 |
12 | Newport CountyNewport | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 11 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Salford City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 9 |
18 | Bromley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
19 | MK Dons | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 6 |
23 | Morecambe | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
24 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
> League Two Full Table |