League Two

League Two | Gameweek 29

Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK

CNG Stadium

Harrogate
0 - 1
Sutton

Folarin (11')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ajiboye (8')
Goodliffe (58')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions

Last Game: Harrogate 1-1 Stevenage
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sutton United

All competitions

Last Game: Salford City 2-0 Sutton
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Harrogate Town 1-0 Sutton United

Sutton have struggled on their travels so far this season, and recent form has taken a downward turn, so we expect Harrogate to emerge as winners in a closely-contested game. The Sulphurites have shown some improving signs at home recently, holding second-placed Stevenage to a draw, so there is no reason why they cannot go one better and take all three points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sutton United in this match.

Result
Harrogate Town	Draw	Sutton United
35.03% ( 0.02)	27.15% ( -0.01)	37.81% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 50.36% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.96% (

0.02)

55.03% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.7% (

0.02)

76.3% (

-0.02)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.13% (

0.02)

29.87% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.03% (

0.03)

65.96% (

-0.03)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.81% (

28.19% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.12% (

63.88% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Harrogate Town 35.03%

Sutton United 37.81%

Draw 27.15%

Harrogate Town	Draw	Sutton United
1-0 @ 10.17% 2-1 @ 7.78% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.15% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.48% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 35.03%	1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0) Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.15%	0-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.16% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.75% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.44% 0-3 @ 2.85% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.09% 0-4 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 37.81%