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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 36.68%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
36.63% ( -1.32) | 26.69% ( -0.05) | 36.68% ( 1.36) |
Both teams to score 51.94% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.92% ( 0.24) | 53.08% ( -0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.34% ( 0.2) | 74.66% ( -0.2) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.05% ( -0.65) | 27.94% ( 0.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.43% ( -0.84) | 63.57% ( 0.84) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.08% ( 0.93) | 27.91% ( -0.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.46% ( 1.18) | 63.53% ( -1.18) |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.28) 2-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.3) 3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.83% Total : 36.63% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.8% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.69% | 0-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 8.1% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.84% Total : 36.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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